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HomeMy WebLinkAbout13 - OB-2 - Review of Agency Report Initiative Petit - 4/5/2016CITY COUNCIL AGENDA REPORT MEETING DATE: April 5, 2016 ITEM NUMBER: OB -2 SUBJECT: REVIEW OF AGENCY REPORT ON INITIATIVE PETITION QUALIFYING FOR BALLOT; CONSIDERATION OF ADOPTING A NEW ORDINANCE; SUBMISSION OF AN INITIATIVE TO THE NOVEMBER 8, 2016 BALLOT DATE: MARCH 25, 2016 FROM: CITY CLERK'S OFFICE; CITY ATTORNEY'S OFFICE PRESENTATION BY: BRENDA GREEN, CITY CLERK; TARQUIN PREZIOSI, DEPUTY CITY ATTORNEY FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: BRENDA GREEN, CITY CLERK, 714-754-5225 At the March 15, 2016 City Council meeting, the City Council ordered a report pursuant to Election Code section 9212 for one qualifying ballot initiative entitled, "An Initiative To Require Voter Approval On Certain Development Projects". The report is attached for City Council consideration (Attachment 3). RECOMMENDATION: Staff recommends that the City Council: 1. Adopt the ordinance, without alteration; or 2. Order placement of the measure on the November 8, 2016 consolidated municipal election. Resolutions calling for a consolidated municipal election, and submission of the measure to the ballot, to be adopted at the June 7, 2016 City Council meeting; and 3. Consider providing Staff with direction as to the preparation of an alternative measure. BACKGROUND: The procedures for placing an initiative to enact an ordinance on the ballot are set forth in California Election Code sections 9200-9226. On June 29, 2015 the City of Costa Mesa, City Clerk, received a voter initiative petition by its proponents (Proponents) "To Require Voter Approval On Certain Development Projects" (Attachment 1). As required by the California Elections Code, the City Attorney's Office provided a title and summary (Attachment 2). 1 The Proponents of the initiative published the Notice of Intent to Circulate and were legally permitted to circulate the petition June 17, 2015 to January 6, 2016. The petition required 4,995 valid signatures to qualify for the 2016 General Election ballot. On January 4, 2016, the Proponents of the initiative petition filed the signed petitions. The City Clerk conducted a prima facie review and determined there was a sufficient number of signatures to proceed: 6908 total tally. On January 5, 2016, the petition was delivered to the County of Orange Registrar of Voters Office for signature verification. The Orange County Registrar of Voters examined the records of voter registration for the City of Costa Mesa and determined that the initiative petition had been signed by no less than 10 percent of City of Costa Mesa registered voters. Therefore the initiative petition was sufficient to be certified to the City Council. On March 15, 2016 City Council accepted the Certification and ordered a report pursuant to Elections Code section 9212. Elections Code section 9212 ["Referral of proposed initiative measure to city agency for report"] provides that the City Council may refer the proposed initiative measure to any city agency or agencies for a report on any matter the City Council requests to be in the report. City staff has retained the services of Keyser Marston Associates, Inc.to prepare the Elections Code section 9212 report. FISCAL REVIEW: The estimated costs to add the initiative to the consolidated general election is $10,000.00. The estimated cost for Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. to prepare a financial analysis of the potential impact of the Initiative is $28,000.00. The estimated cost to retain outside counsel to prepare an alternative measure is between $10,000.00 and $20,000.00. LEGAL REVIEW: The City Attorney's office has reviewed this report and has approved it as to form and legal content. TARQUIN PREZIOSI Deputy City Attorney RICHARD FRANCIS Assistant CEO ATTACHMENTS: 1. Petition 2. Ballot Title & Summary 3. Report 2 BRENDA GREEN City Clerk ATTACHMENT 1 INITIATIVE MEASURE TO BE SUBMITTED DIRECTLY TO THE VOTERS "An Initiative to give the People of Costa Mesa control of their future." To the City Council of the City of Costa Mesa: We, the undersigned, registered and qualified voters of the State of California, residents of the City of Costa Mesa, pursuant to Section 3 of Ordinance XI of the California Constitution and Chapter 2 (commencing with Section 34450) of Pact 1 of Division 2 of Title 4 of the Government Code, present to the City Council of the City of Costa Mesa this petition and request that the following proposed ordinance be submitted to the registered and qualified voters of the City of Costa Mesa for their adoption or rejection at an election on a date to be determined by the Costa Mesa City Council, We further request the Costa Mesa City Council place this amendment on the ballot pursuant to the California State Election Code 9200-9226. The proposed amendment reads as follows: The people of the Costa Mesa find that: (a) Environmental quality in Costa Mesa, which directly affects the quality of life of its residents, workers and visitors, is significantly and adversely impacted by excessive development, which causes severe traffic congestion and gridlock, degradation of Costa Mesa's infrastructure, as well as air, noise and water pollution; (b) Costa Mesa's traffic circUlation system is already oversaturated, Several intersections are operating at or near failure during peals traffic hours Enid are inadequate to support existing development; (c) Fiutherniore, these existing traffic and traffic circulation system conditions result in adverse effects on public safety, public health and our quality of life; (d) hicreased population density and overall population have stressed Costa Mesa's parks and other public facilities and services resulting in adverse effects on public well-being; (e) The City of Costa Mesa's existing land use and development review and approval procedures do not carefully or accurately consider, nor adequately weigh, the adverse impacts to the local environment and quality of life caused by increased density and congestion resulting from major changes in allowable land use; (t) The standards by which the City of Costa Mesa evaluates maj or changes in allowable land use are ill-defined and inadequate to avoid or effectively mitigate the adverse effects of those changes; and page 1 Initiative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future—FINAL 6/29/2015 (g) The People of Costa Mesa, whose quality of life and property rights are at stake, should have the power to decide whether a proposed Major Change in Allowable Land Use, as defined below, is worth the added congestion and density it will cause, after careful, independent evaluation by the City of Costa Mesa of the adverse environmental effects of Major Changes in Allowable Land Use, based on clear and consistently applied standards. NOW, THEREFORE, THE PEOPLE OF THE CITY OF COSTA MESA DO ORDAIN AS FOLLOWS: Sec._1. Code Amendment. This ordinance amends the Costa Mesa Municipal Code as follows and supersedes any provisions that are inconsistent with this ordinance and shall be known as "Ordinance to give the People of Costa Mesa control of their future", Sec. -2. Purpose. It is the purpose of this ordinance to: (a) Give the voters of Costa Mesa the power to determine whether Costa Mesa should allow Major Changes in Allowable Land Use, as defined below, by requiring voter approval of any such proposed change and thereby ensuring maximum public participation in major land use and zoning changes proposed in Costa Mesa; (b) Ensure that the voters of Costa Mesa receive all necessary and accurate environmental information on proposals for Major Changes in Allowable .Land Use, so that they shall intelligently vote on any such proposal; (c) Ensure that Costa Mesa officials provide timely, accurate arid unbiased environmental review of all proposals for Major Changes in Allowable Land Use, so that they may minimize or mitigate their adverse traffic and land use impacts and maximize neighborhood compatibility before the voters decide on any such change; (d) Ensure that all elements of the land use change approved by the voters are implemented; and (e) Protect the public health, safety and welfare, and the quality of life, for all persons living or wonting or visiting in Costa Mesa, Sec. -3. Definitions. The definitions set forth in this section apply to the provisions of this ordinance only and do not Initiative to give the People of Costa Mesa control of thelrfuture--FINAL 6/29/2015 page 2 affect any other provision of law. (a) "As -Built Condition" means the dwelling units, office and other nonresidential units, buildings and baseline traffic conditions existing at the time Costa Mesa issues the notice of preparation of an environmental impact report for the Major Change in Allowable Land Use, or, where no such notice is issued, on the date the application for the Major Change in Allowable Land Use is deemed complete. Illegal dwellings and other conditions that exist in violation of Costa Mesa's zoning ordinance and are subject to Costa Mesa's power of abatement, shall not be accounted for in the As -Built Condition for the purpose of determining a "Significant Increase," as defined in subdivision (h) below. (b) "Average Daily Trips" means the number of vehicle hips that a Major Change in Allowable Land Use would generate on a daily basis. Trips generated shall be calculated by using the most recent version of the Trip Generation Manual of the Institute of Transportation Engineers ("ITE") in effect on the date the City of Costa Mesa issues the notice of preparation of an environmental impact report for a Major Change in AIlowable Land Use or, where no such notice is issued, on the date the application for the Major Change in Allowable Land Use is deemed complete. Further, a Daily Trip is a motor vehicle either leaving or arriving at said property during a given day. Also, for purposes of counting trips, any vehicle with a Gross Vehicle Weight Rating (GVWR) greater than 6,000 (six thousand) pounds, shall be counted as generating two (2) trips for every trip attributed to this sized vehicle. (c) "General Ilan" means the General Plan of the City of Costa Mesa in effect as of the effective date of this ordinance, or as may be amended pursuant to this ordinance. (d) "Intersection Capacity Utilization" or "ICU" means a quantitative measure of traffic flow of an intersection that includes critical turning movement volume/capacity (v/O) ratios. ICU is related to Level of Service (below) and augments the determination of LOS, An ICU of "1,00" is indicative of an intersection that is at maximum capacity. (c) "Level of Service" or "LOS" means a scale that measures the amount of traffic that a roadway or intersection can accommodate, based on Che ICU of the intersection and such factors as maneuverability, driver dissatisfaction, and delay. (f) "Major Change in Allowable Land Use" mcans any proposed aniendrnent, change, or replacement of the General .Plan, or of Costa Mesa's zoning ordinance (as defined and contained in Title 13, of the Costa Mesa Municipal Code) or any Specific Plan or Overlay Plan or adoption of a new Specific Plan or Overlay Pian meeting any one or more of the following conditions: page 3 Initiative to glue the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 (1) The proposed change in allowable land use would significantly increase traffic, density or intensity of use above the As -Built condition, as defined in (ls), in the neighborhood where the major change is proposed. (2) The proposed change in allowable land use would change a public use to a private use. A Major Change in Allowable Land Use in this category shall include a change of use on; (i) land designated for a public use or a public right-of-way; provided, however, that the abandorunent of a public right of way that is no longer needed, in conformity to the procedural requirements of the Government Code of the State of California, Section 65402 and the Municipal Code of the City of Costa Mesa, shall not be subject to voter approval. (3) land designated as utility right-of-way; (4) land donated, bequeathed or otherwise granted to Costa Mesa; (5) land used or designated for Costa Mesa school property; or (6) land owned, controlled or managed by Costa Mesa; (g) "Minor Change in Allowable Land Use" means any change inland use that does not meet or exceed the changes as defined in Major Change in Allowable Land Use, as defined in (f). (h) "Municipal Code" 01'"Costa Mesa Municipal Code" means the Municipal Code of the City of Costa Mesa. (i) G°Overlay Plan" or "Overlay Zone" mean the same and refer to any zoning code plan covering a currently zoned area of the city that allows a land owner to change from that zone to another to further develop that owner's property. Said Overlay Zone would include certain restrictions or incentives to increase the likelihood of a property owner's desire to develop their property affected by the Overlay Zone. (j) "Proponent" means any individual, firm, association, syndicate, partnership, limited liability company, limited Liability partnership, corporation, trust or any other legal entity applying to Costa Mesa for a change in allowable land use. If Costa Mesa itself initiates the change, it shall be deemed the Proponent for the purposes of this ordinance. page 4 Initiative tc give the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 (k) "Significantly Increase" or "Significant Increase" means any one or more of the following increases over or changes compared to the As -Built Condition: (1) The traffic generated by the proposal: (i) would generate more than 200 additional Average Daily Trip ends; or (ii) would increase the V/C ratio of the intersection operating condition in one of the following ways: a. would increase the V/C ratio to equal to or greater than 0,040 such that after implementation of the major change the LOS would be C or worse; b, would increase the V/C ratio increase to equal to or greater than 0.020 such that after implementation of the major change the LOS would be D or worse; or c, would increase the V/C ratio to equal to or greater than 0.010 such that after implementation of the major change the LOS would be E or F or ICU of 0.9 or higher; or (iii) any increase in ICU at any Costa Mesa intersection from less than 0.9 to 0.9 or higher; or any change in LOS at any intersection or on any corridor from better than "D" to "D" or worse, (2) For purposes of determining traffic increases attributable to a Major Change in Allowable Land Use, baseline and projected ICU and LOS conditions shall be determined considering weekday peals hour conditions at such time of Elie year when. local public schools are in session. (3) The density increase generated by the proposal produces more than forty (40) additional residential dwelling emits than As -Built conditions. (4) The intensity of use generated by the project produces more than ten thousand (10,000) additional square feet of retail, office or other nonresidential floor area than As -Built conditions. (5) The voters declare that dividing a Major Change in Allowable Land Use, that would otherwise require their approval, into partial changes that would not by themselves require their approval obviates their intent to have control over major changes in allowable land use and is contrary to the purposes of this ordinance. For the purposes of this ordinance, a "significant increase" occurs if the combination of a proposed minor change in allowable land use with one or more other minor or major changes in allowable land use within a half mile which were approved within eight (8) years preceding issuance of the notice of Initlative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control ofthetr future --FINAL 6/29/2015 page 5 preparation of an environmental impact report or other environmental review doctnnent for the proposed minor change, or, where no such notice is issued, within eight (8) years preceding commencement of the City's environmental analysis for the proposed minor change, meets any increase or change threshold for traffic, density or intensity of use defined in this ordinance, (1) "Specific PIan" means any existing Specific Plan in effect as of January 1, 2015 or any Specific Plans as may be amended pursuant to this ordinance or any new Specific Plans which shall be approved by both the Costa Mesa City Council as well as the voters of Costa Mesa pursuant to this ordinance, Sec. -4. Effective date; Applicability. (a) This ordinance shall be binding and effective as of the earliest date allowed by law (the "Effective Date"). At its first public meeting following completion of the canvass of votes, the Costa Mesa City Council shall pass the resolution required by Elections Code Section 9266. The following day, the elections official of Costa Mesa shall cause a copy of the complete text of the adopted measure to be filed with the Secretary of State pursuant to Government Code Sections 34459 and 34460. (b) Pursuant to Elections Code Section 9205, all Major Changes in Allowable Land Use approved by the Costa Mesa City Council on or after the date of publication of the notice of intention to circulate the initiative petition adding this ordinance to the City Municipal Code, shall be subject to the provisions of this ordinance. See. _5. Vote of the Costa Mesa Electorate on a Major Change in an Allowable Land Use. (a) Each Major Change in Allowable Land Use shall be put to a vote of the Costa Mesa electorate; provided, however, that no such change shall be submitted to the Costa Mesa electorate tmless the Costa Mesa City Council has first approved the change pursuant to all state and local laws applicable to approval of land use changes by the legislative body. A Major Change in Allowable Land Use shall become effective only after approval by the Costa Mesa City Council and a majority of the Costa Mesa Electorate voting "YES" on a ballot measure proposing such change at either a regular or special municipal election. An advisory election does not satisfy the voter approval requirement. (b) The sample ballot materials mauled to the registered voters of Costa Mesa prior to all election shall describe any Major Change in Allowable Land Use in a manner that clearly discloses both the scope and main features of the proposal (including any and all phases) that the Major Change in Allowable Land Use consists of or depends on, and the location and the acreage of the project site. The description shall include the page 6 Initiative to glve the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 text of any proposed amendment to the General Plan, to Costa Mesa's zoning ordinance or of any proposed adoption or repeal of, or amendment to, a Specific Plan. The description shall clearly compare the proposal and its traffic impacts both to the As -Built Condition and to existing applicable land use designations and zoning classifications, providing accurate comparative data conceiving existing as well as proposed densities (in units per acre) and intensities of use (in square footage, types of use and traffic impacts). If a site -speck development is proposed in connection with a Major Change in Allowable Land Use, and existing densities or intensities of use in such site-specific development are less than the densities or intensities the Major Change in Allowable Land use proposes, the text of the ballot shall clearly disclose the maximum total residential, commercial, industrial or other nonresidential build -out potential, and traffic impacts under build -out, compared to the As -Built Condition, Easily readable maps shall be used to assist the voters in the proposal description. All of the information called for by this subdivision shall be posted on Costa Mesa's website no later than ten (10) days prior to the Costa Mesa City Council's action on a Major Change in Allowable Land Use, and such information shall be updated no later than two business days following the Costa Mesa City Council's action. (c) For all Major Changes in Allowable Land Use approved by the Costa Mesa City Council on or after the effective date of this ordinance, the resulting election required by this ordinance shall be set for the first regular municipal election following City Council approval of the Major Change in Allowable Land Use; or, by mutual agreement with the Proponent, the Costa Mesa City Council may call a special municipal election, with the cost of the special election borne solely by the Proponent. (d) The popular vote required by this ordinance shall be in addition to all other applicable review and approval requirements for such Major Change in Allowable Land Use, including environmental review in compliance with the California Environmental Quality Act ("CEQA"). (e) All subsequent City permits and approvals necessary to implement all or part of a Major Change in Allowable Land Use shall coiiforiv to the voter -approved change. Under no circumstances shall any subsequent permit or approval authorize, allow or otherwise accommodate higher densities, intensities of use, or trip generation than the densities, intensities and trip generation approved by the Costa Mesa City Council and the voters. (f) No certificate of occupancy for any structure built as part of a proposal that depends on a Major Change in Allowable Land Use shall be issued until: (1) All mitigations of traffic impacts, including control signals, increases in right- of-way ight- ofway capacity via widening roads, or other right-of-way or intersection improvements, as may be required by the Costa Mesa City Council, have been page 7 Initiative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control oftheir future --FINAL 6/29/2015 developed and implemented, and the City Engineer has certified completion and operation of all traffic impact mitigations in full compliance with the Costa Mesa City Council's approval action; or (2) Costa Mesa has received payment of the then current trip fees and a fully enforceable agreement between Costa Mesa and the Proponent specifying any other considerations to implement the appropriate mitigation measures. (g) Except as provided in Section 6, Paragraph (b) below, any permits or approvals issued without voter approval, where such voter approval is required under this ordinance, shall be mill and void, Sec. -6. Application for Major Change in Allowable Land Use; City Review. (a) To carry out the purposes of this ordinance, any application for a Major Change in Allowable Land Use shall contain accurate and up-to-date factual data and information, and the subsequent written City review shall include the following (in addition to all other disclosures required under CEQA and Title 13 of the Costa Mesa Municipal Code): (1) The information required by Section -5, subdivision (b), above; (2) A site plan or diagram, drawn to scale for any site specific amendment; (3) A complete, objective discussion of the potential inconsistencies between the proposal that consists of, or depends on, the Major Change in Allowable Land Use, and: (i) surrounding uses in the neighborhood; (ii) the General Plan; (iii) the City's zoning and subdivision ordinances; and (iv) any applicable Specific Plan or Overlay Plan. (4) To the extent the proposal differs from existing uses, a fiill description of the mitigations necessary or recommended for adoption to minimize neighborhood impacts and incompatibility shall be provided. (b) A complete, objective analysis of the traffic circulation and traffic safety impacts of the proposal that consists of, or depends on, the Major Change in Allowable Land Use. The traffic analysis shall be prepared directly by, or under direct contract to, the City, page S Initiative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 and shall make accurate determinations for the purposes of Section i3, subdivision (b)(1), above. ICU and LOS impact analysis shall be provided for all corridors and intersections subject to any significant impacts due to the Major Change in Allowable Land Use. LOS analyses shall use current best practices described in the current Highway Capacity Manual published by the Transportation Research Board, a division of the National Research Coutwil, The traffic analysis shall adequately disclose the direct, the indirect or secondary, and the cumulative impacts of the proposal accounting for all relevant factors, such as proportion of heavy weight vehicular traffic, bus stops, intersection and corridor oversaturation (downstream traffic queuing impacts), pedestrian traffic, side street and driveway entrances and exits, ingress stacking and overflowing, and turn lane queuing and overflow. The traffic analysis also shall identify the mitigations necessary or recommended to reduce the traffic impacts to an ICU below 0.90 or LOS D or better for the corridors and intersections subj ect to this analysis. The location, nature and adverse construction -phase impacts of the traffic impact mitigations shall be clearly described. (c) To reduce delay for Proponents, the City's decision-making bodies may review and conditionally approve discretionary permit applications required for a proposal prior to the Costa Mesa electorate's vote on a Major Change in Allowable Land Use on which such proposal depends; provided, however, that no conditional permit approval will become effective unless the related Major Change in Allowable Land Use is passed by the voters and has itself become effective. If the related Major Change in Allowable Land Use is rejected by the voters, such change and all conditional permits shall have no force and effect. Sec. -7. Exceptions. (a) This ordinance shall not apply to any Major Change in Allowable Land Use that is limited to allowing the development of a public school or a hospital. (b) This ordinance shall not preclude completion of a site-specific development that depends on a Major Change in Allowable Land Use approved before the effective date of this ordinance, if before such date, the holder of any permit or other entitlement for use for such development has lawfully and in -good faith acquired a vested right, under state .law, to carry out the development to completion. (c) The provisions of this ordnance shall not apply to the extent that they would violate state or federal laws. (d) This ordinance shall not be applied in a manner that would result in aur unconstitutional taking of private property. page 9 Initiative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 (e) This ordinance shall not apply to affordable housing proposals required by state or federal law, (f) This ordinance shall not apply to any Major Change in Allowable Land Use of property with legal non -conforming residential units that were occupied on the date of publication, pursuant to Elections Code Section 9205, of the notice of intention to circulate the initiative petition adding this ordinance to the Municipal Code, so long as the proposed change in allowable land use meets all the following conditions; (1) the existing residential units are rendered conforming under the proposed change; (2) the proposed change does not allow an increase in the number of residential units on the property; (3) the proposed change does not create a Significant Increase in traffic or intensity of use; and (4) the proposed change does not create a reduction in open space or in any set back. See. 8. Relationship to Municipal Code. If any provision of this ordinance conflicts with other provisions contained in the Costa Mesa Municipal Code, the provisions of this ordinance shall supersede any other conflicting provision, Sec. -9. Amendments. No provision of this ordinance may be amended or repealed except by a vote of the people of Costa Mesa. See._10. Judicial Enforcement, Any aggrieved person shall have the right to bring an action to enjoin any violation of this ordinance or to enforce the duties imposed on Costa Mesa by this ordinance, Sec.—H. Construction. This ordinance shall be liberally construed to accomplish its purposes. Nothing herein shall be construed to matte illegal any lawful use being made of any land iu accordance "vith City land use and zoning regulations in force before the effective date of this ordinance. Sec. -12. Consistency with Other Ballot Measures. If another ballot measure is placed on the same ballot as this measure and deals with the same, subject matter, and if both measures pass, the voters intend that both measures stroll be put into page 10 Initiative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 effect, except to the extent that specific provisions of the measures are in direct conflict. In the event of a direct conflict, the measure which obtained more votes will control as to the directly conflicting provisions only. The voters expressly declare this to be their intent, regardless of any contrary language in any other ballot measure. Sec. -13. Severability, If any section„ subdivision,clause, sentence, phrase or portion of this ordinvlce is declared invalid by a court of coaupetent jurisdiction, the remaining sections, subdivisions, clauses, sentences, phrases and portions shall remain valid and enforceable. The voters declare that they would have passed all sections, subdivisions, clatises, sentences, phrases and portions of this ordinance without the section, subdivision, clause, sentence, phrase or portion declared invalid by a court Of competent jurisdiction. Initiative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 page 11 N C:D .,r rr2 7 1 it _ U cr) �rry � ra r u� to Initiative to give the People Of Costa Mesa control of their future --FINAL 6/29/2015 page 11 ATTACHMENT 2 AN INITIATIVE TO REQUIRE VOTER APPROVAL ON CERTAIN DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS The initiative would amend the City of Costa Mesa Municipal Code to require voter approval on certain development projects that meet the following criteria: 1. The proposed project would require adoption, amendment, change or replacement of the Costa Mesa General Plan ("General Plan"), municipal code, specific plan, or overlay plan; AND 2. The proposed project meets a minimum of one of the following: A, Would involve any one of the following changes: i. Generate more than 200 additional Average Daily Trips, ii. Increase the volume/capacity of an intersection based on a specified formula, iii. Change the Intersection Capacity Utilization or level of service based on a specified formula, iv. Add 40 or more dwelling units, V. Add 10,000 square feet of retail, office or other nonresidential, or vi. The proposed project, combined with other projects, within 8 years and a half -mile of each other, meets this criteria; B. Changes a public use to a private use under specified circumstances; C, Involves land designated as utility right-of-way under specified circumstances; D. Involves land donated, bequeathed or otherwise granted to Costa Mesa; E, Involves land used or designated for Costa Mesa school property; or F, Involves land owned, controlled or managed by Costa Mesa, According to the initiative, an application submitted by a proponent of a development project that is subject to voter approval must provide a site plan with the location, size and main features of the project; the text proposed for the General Plan, municipal code, specific plan or overlay plan; comparisons of traffic, density and intensity; potential inconsistencies between the development project and the surrounding uses in the neighborhood, General Plan, municipal code, and applicable specific plan or, overlay plan; and traffic circulation and traffic safety impacts. Any development project subject to the initiative and adopted by the City Council would not tal<e effect until approved by a majority of the Costa Mesa electorate at the first regular municipal election. However, the development project may be submitted to voters at a special municipal election if, by mutual agreement with the City Council, the proponent agrees to pay the cost of the special municipal election. The initiative requires specific information within the sample ballot including the information provided in the application. The initiative would allow the City to conditionally approve discretionary permits related to the development project prior to receiving voter approval. Voter approval would not be required on development projects for a public school or hospital; projects approved before the initiative's effective date; affordable housing projects; occupied legal non -conforming residential units under certain circumstances; where voter approval would result in an unconstitutional taking of private property; or where voter approval violates state or federal law. The initiative would supersede any inconsistent provisions of the Costa Mesa Municipal Code and apply to all development projects initiated on or after the date of publication of the Notice of Intent to Circulate Petition. of 1 04 �•••'61, �� *' -alploopW.,o �w F a"V 4%a •l:imr• g • on � 0 TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Introduction..................................................................................................... 1 A. Request for an Impact Report Related to "An Initiative To Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects".......................................................................................... 1 B. Report Organization............................................................................................................. 1 II. Legal Analysis................................................................................................... 2 A. The Applicability of the Initiative to the General Plan Update ............................................ 2 B. Triggers, Impacts and Exceptions........................................................................................ 6 III. Planning Analysis........................................................................................... 11 A. Comparative Growth Measures......................................................................................... 11 B. Inventory of Entitled Projects............................................................................................ 12 C. Timing Implications of the Initiative on Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses .............. 17 IV. Comparison to A Sample of Voter Initiatives ................................................. 18 A. Comparison of Newport Beach Measure S to the Proposed Initiative ............................. 18 B. Summaries of Other Similar Initiatives.............................................................................. 22 V. Financial Analysis........................................................................................... 24 A. Impact of Voter -Approval Requirements.......................................................................... 24 B. Financial Feasibility of Revitalization and Major New Development ................................ 27 C. Fiscal and Economic Impact............................................................................................... 30 ATTACHMENTS Attachment I Land Use and Trips Analysis Attachment 11 Map of Major Changes in Land Use 2007 - 2015 Attachment III Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives Attachment IV Case Study Analysis Exhibit A Property Sales Data Exhibit B Pro Forma Analysis: Apartment Development Attachment V Fiscal & Economic Impact Analysis Exhibit A Harbor Mixed -Use Overlay Exhibit B Residential Incentive — Harbor Exhibit C Residential Incentive — Newport Exhibit D LA Times Site Exhibit E SoBECA Exhibit F Segerstrom Home Ranch Site Exhibit G Sakioka Site — Lot 2 Exhibit H Fairview Site I. INTRODUCTION A. Request for an Impact Report Related to "An Initiative To Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects" On June 29, 2015, a petition was submitted to the City Clerk of the City of Costa Mesa (the "City") that was titled, "An Initiative To Require Voter Approval On Certain Development Projects" (the "Initiative"). The date of publication of the notice of intention to circulate the Initiative petition was July 17, 2015. A Ballot Title & Summary of the Petition was prepared by the City Attorney pursuant to Section 9203 of the Elections Code. A Certificate as to Verification of Signatures on Petition has been received by the City from the Registrar of Voters of the County of Orange. On March 15, 2016, the City Clerk, acting in the capacity of the elections official, certified to the City Council the sufficiency of the petition. The City Council directed City staff and Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. ("KMA") to prepare a report pursuant to Section 9212 of the Elections Code to be presented at the regularly scheduled City Council meeting of April 5, 2016. The information contained in this report (the "Section 9212 Report") is responsive to the information requested by the City Council at the March 15, 2016 City Council meeting, and is consistent with Election Code Section 9212. B. Report Organization The following Section 9212 Report is intended to provide the City Council with an evaluation of the impact the terms of the Initiative could potentially have on future development in Costa Mesa. This Section 9212 Report is organized as follows: A legal analysis of the applicability of the Initiative to the General Plan Update and an analysis of the Initiative's triggers and exceptions; 2. An analysis of the Planning issues associated with the Initiative; 3. A survey of California growth management initiatives; and 4. The impact on the City's General Fund and economic development opportunties. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 1 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects II. LEGAL ANALYSIS A. The Applicability of the Initiative to the General Plan Update The plain language of the Initiative ordinance appears to evidence an intent that it apply retroactively to any "Major Changes in Allowable Land Use", including the General Plan Update, that occurs on or after July 17, 2015. However, a strong argument can be made based on the definitional language of the ordinance that the Initiative would not in fact apply retroactively to the General Plan Update. This is because the Initiative ordinance specifically defines "General Plan" as the general plan "in effect as of the effective date of the ordinance". Therefore, as discussed below, the "General Plan" would mean that general plan in effect as of November 25, 2016. If a court were to adopt this construction of the ordinance, there would be no retroactive effect to the General Plan Update. Similarly, based on case law, it is unlikely that the Initiative can legally be applied retroactively to the Update or to any General Plan amendment that occurs prior to November 25, 2016. 1. The Language of the Initiative. Every city and county in California, including charter cities, must have a comprehensive general plan.' In Costa Mesa's case, the General Plan has not been updated since 2000. The General Plan Update is anticipated to be adopted by April, 2016. On its face, the Initiative appears to apply retroactively to certain legislative actions that meet stated threshold criteria. These legislative acts are amendment, changes to or replacement of the General Plan, the Zoning Code, a Specific Plan, or an Overlay plan. Section 4(b) provides: Pursuant to Elections Code Section 9205, all Major Changes in Allowable Land Use approved by the Costa Mesa City Council on or after the date of publication of the notice of intention to circulate the initiative petition adding this ordinance to the City Municipal Code shall be subject to the provisions of this ordinance. (Emphasis added.) The date of publication of the notice of intention to circulate the Initiative petition was July 17, 2015. The Update, as an amendment or replacement of the General Plan, coupled with its impacts, meets the definition of a "Major Change in Allowable Land Use" as defined in Section 3(f). However, Section 3(c) defines "General Plan" as: 1 Gov Code §65300; Endangered Habitats League, Inc. v County of Orange (2005) 131 Cal. App. 4th 777. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 2 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects "General Plan" means the General Plan of the City of Costa Mesa in effect as of the effective date [sic] of this ordinance, or as may be amended pursuant to this ordinance. (Emphasis added.) This definition is in contrast to the definition of a "Specific Plan" in Section 3(I): "Specific Plan" means any existing Specific Plan" in effect as of January 1, 2015 or any Specific Plan as may be amended pursuant to this ordinance or any new Specific Plans which shall be approved by both the Costa Mesa City Council as well as the voters of Costa Mesa pursuant to this ordinance. (Emphasis added.) The ordinance defines "Effective Date" [sic] in Section 4(a): This ordinance shall be binding and effective as of the earliest date allowed law (the "Effective Date")... (Emphasis added). Pursuant to Elections Code section 9217, an ordinance adopted by initiative takes effect 10 days after the election is declared by the city council.2 For the upcoming general election, the earliest date the Initiative ordinance could take effect is November 25, 2016. Thus, the "effective date" and "earliest date allowed by law" for purposes of the General Plan would appear to be November 25, 2016. Therefore, by definition, the "General Plan" would mean whatever general plan is in effect as of November 25, 2016. This interpretation of the "earliest date allowed by law" is consistent with case law regarding general plans discussed below — as well as with the "Exceptions" language of Section 7(c) that provides "[t]he provisions of this ordinance shall not apply to the extent that they would violate state or federal law." The Update's Land Use Element's amended Land Use Plan includes certain future legislative actions, such as zone changes and specific plan amendments, as discussed in Section V of this report. As discussed above, the Initiative is unlikely to apply retroactively to the General Plan Update. However, the future legislative actions contemplated by the Update —to the extent they meet the stated thresholds — would, based on the terms of the ordinance, be subject to the Initiative. z "If a majority of the voters voting on a proposed ordinance vote in its favor, the ordinance shall become a valid and binding ordinance of the city. The ordinance shall be considered as adopted upon the date that the vote is declared by the legislative body, and shall go into effect 10 days after that date..." Elec Code § 9217 (in part). Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 3 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects 2. The Case Law. A general plan, as a legislative act, is subject to both amendment by initiative' and the referendum power of the voters.' This power has been specifically held to be applicable to general law cities.5 California Supreme Court decisions have held that both adoption and amendment of general plans are subject to referenda and the initiative process. 6,' Amendment by initiative must comply with the substantive requirements for a general plan.' Courts have generally rejected the argument that submission of a general plan to the voters could potentially frustrate the fundamental objectives of planning law by failing to keep the general plan current.' As a general proposition, a statute or ordinance may apply retroactively, if the legislative intent to do so is clearly apparent.10 Generally, such a law is invalid only if it encroaches on vested rights or impairs the obligations of contract.11 However, the California Supreme Court's decision in Lesher Communications, Inc. v. City of Walnut Creek12 and the reasoning therein suggests that subjecting a general plan to retroactive approval or disapproval by an initiative ordinance is improper: We cannot at once accept the function of a general plan as a "constitution," or perhaps more accurately a charter for future development, and the proposition that it can be amended without notice to the electorate that such amendment is the purpose of an initiative. Implied amendments or repeals by implication are disfavored in any case *** and the doctrine may not be applied here. The ' See DeVita v. Napa (1995) 9 Cal.4th 763; 8 Witkin Sum. Cal. Law Const Law § 1017 (10th 2010). 4 See O'Loane v. O'Rourke (1965) 231 Cal.App.2d 774, 784; Yost v. Thomas (1984) 36 Cal.3d 561, 570 (discussing the Coastal Act). I O'Loane v. O'Rourke (1965) 231 Cal.App.2d 774, 783 (general law city); see also Committee of Seven Thousand v. Superior Court (1988) 45 Cal.3d 491, 504 (discussing O'Loane). 6 Yost v. Thomas (1984) 36 Cal.3d 561; Committee of Seven Thousand v. Superior Court (1988) 45 Cal.3d 491; see also Citizens for Planning Responsibly v. County of San Luis Obispo (2009) 176 Cal.App.4th 357, 367 (discussing cases). ' The precise issue of whether or not the housing element of the general plan, as opposed to the land use element, is subject to the initiative process has not yet been addressed by the Supreme Court. See DeVita v. Napa (1995) 9 C.4th 763, at fn. 11; see also San Mateo County Coastal Landowners'Assn. v. County of San Mateo (1995) 38 Cal.App.4th 523, 543 (discussing DeVita). 8 66 Ops. Cal. Atty. Gen. 258, 259. ' See DeVita v. County of Napa (1995) 9 Cal.4th 763, 792. 10 Tevis v. San Francisco (1954) 43 Cal.2d 190, 195. 11 O'Connor v. Superior Court (1979) 90 Cal.App.3d 107, 114; Rosenblatt v. California State Board of Pharmacy (1945) 69 Cal.App.2d 69, 72. 11 Lesher Communications, Inc. v. City of Walnut Creek (1990) 52 Cal.3d 531. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 4 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Planning and Zoning Law itself precludes consideration of a zoning ordinance which conflicts with a general plan as a pro tanto repeal or implied amendment of the general plan. The general plan stands. A zoning ordinance that is inconsistent with the general plan is invalid when passed *** and one that was originally consistent but has become inconsistent must be brought into conformity with the general plan. *** The Planning and Zoning Law does not contemplate that general plans will be amended to conform to zoning ordinances. The tail does not wag the dog. The general plan is the charter to which the ordinance must conform." The initiative ordinance at issue in Lesher is not identical to the Initiative here. Nonetheless, the longstanding rule that a zoning ordinance cannot amend the general plan is applicable, as is the rule that a zoning ordinance that conflicts with a general plan is invalid at the time it is passed.l4 If the Update is adopted in April, 2016, as scheduled, it then becomes the General Plan to which the Zoning Code must conform. The City and property owners are entitled to rely upon this General Plan to guide future development. Such reliance is arguably impossible if elements of the General Plan as adopted and in effect as of April, 2016, would subject to a mandatory vote of the people starting in November 2016 — which vote itself might not take place until 2018.11 Further, an uncertainty could result as to which general plan would control. In theory, any plan or permit approvals that were issued consistent with the General Plan as updated in April, 2016 could become inconsistent in November, 2018. As discussed in Section IV of this report, none of the previous 24 growth management initiatives summarized in Exhibit III of this report appear to provide for retroactive application. Not surprisingly, the precise legal issue presented here — whether an initiative ordinance can apply retroactively to a general plan amendment that occurred prior to the effective date of the initiative ordinance — has not been directly addressed by the California appellate courts. However, under Lesher, a strong argument can be made that such a vote to undo the Update would act as an impermissible amendment to the General Plan by zoning ordinance. 13 1d. at 540-541 (internal citations omitted). 14 Id. at 544; see also deeottari v. City Council (1985) 171 Cal.App.3d 1204, 1212; Sierra Club v. Board of Supervisors (1981) 126 Cal.App.3d 698, 704. 11 See Section 5(c). Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 5 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects B. Triggers, Impacts and Exceptions 1. Actions that "Trigger" the Initiative The actions that "trigger" the application of the Initiative to a specific project under Section 3(f) are a "Major Change in Allowable Land Use" —which is defined as any "proposed amendment, change or replacement" of: • the General Plan, • the Zoning Ordinance [Title 13 of the CMMC], • a Specific Plan, or • an Overlay Plan, that meet the "conditions" specified in Section 3(f)(1) through (6). The Initiative requires that the proposed amendments, changes, or replacements of the General Plan, Zoning Ordinance, a Specific Plan or an Overlay Plan, be submitted to the voters only after the "City Council has first approved the change pursuant to all state and local laws applicable to the approval of land use changes by the legislative body."16 Amendments, changes, or replacements of the General Plan, Zoning Ordinance, Specific Plan or Overlay Plan are generally considered legislative acts which may be voted on by the electorate.17 This is in contrast to administrative acts, such as conditional use permits or variances, which may not be subject to a vote of the electorate.18 The "conditions" of Section 3(f), that, when combined with one of enumerated legislative acts, include: (1) a proposed change that would "significantly increase traffic, density or intensity of us above the As Built Conditions" as defined in Section 3(k); (2) a proposed change that would "change a public use to a private use", including a change of use on: 16 See Section 5(a). 17 See W. W. Dean & Assocs. v. City of S. San Francisco (1987) 190 Cal.App.3d 1368, 1374-1375; Yost v. Thomas (1984) 36 Cal.3d 561, 570; Arnel Development Co. v. City of Costa Mesa (1980) 28 Cal.3d 511, 516. 18 See id. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 6 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects (i) "land designated for a public use or a public right of way", provided however, "that the abandonment of a public right of way that is no longer needed" in conformity with certain state law and local requirements for such disposition; (3) land designated as utility right-of-way; (4) land donated, bequeathed or otherwise granted to Costa Mesa; (5) land used or designated for Costa Mesa school property; or (6) land owned, controlled or managed by Costa Mesa; [sic.]. However, apparent inconsistencies in the definition of "Major Change in Allowable Land Use" include the above "uses" at Section 3(f)(3)-(6) that may have been intended to be exempt, similar to subsection (2)(i)'s exception for abandonment of public rights-of-way. For example, affirmatively listing "land used or designated for Costa Mesa school property" as a condition that is subject to the Initiative is in apparent conflict with the "exception" from the Initiative at Section 7 for "public schools" (see Paragraph B.2., below). As written, by not designating (3)-(6) as a sub -set of 3(f)(2), such as (ii) -(iv), and/or including a modifier such as "change of use on" as in Section 3(f)(2) dealing with "land designated for public use", the following are "conditions" that are automatically included in the definition without any predicate action as in (1) or (2): (3) land designated as utility right-of-way; (4) land donated, bequeathed or otherwise granted to Costa Mesa; (5) land used or designated for Costa Mesa school property; or (6) land owned, controlled or managed by Costa Mesa; [sic.] Therefore, under the language of the Initiative, a literal interpretation would be that if a project involves one of the proposed legislative changes (such as amendment to the general plan) and land enumerated in (3), (4), (5) or (6) (such as land owned by the City), then this action would be subject to the Initiative — whether or not it met any of the threshold increases of Section 3(k) (i.e., generating 200 additional average daily trips). If the Initiative passes, this inconsistency could only be clarified by a voter approved amendment to the ordinance. 2. Exceptions Certain stated exceptions to the ordinance are listed in Section 7. They include exceptions for, or make the ordinance inapplicable to: a. a Major Change in Allowable Land Use that is "limited to allowing the development of a public school or hospital"; Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 7 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects a project that has acquired "vested rights" prior to the "effective date" of the ordinance (presumably, November 25, 2016); C. "to the extent that they would violate state of federal laws"; d. a prohibition against applying the ordinance "in a manner that would result in an unconstitutional taking of private property"; e. "to affordable housing proposals required by state or federal law"; "to a Major Change in Allowable land use of property with legal non -conforming residential units that meets specified conditions. The "public school" and "hospital" exception. School Districts may exempt themselves, under certain circumstances, from a city's zoning ordinance, except where the use is for non -classroom facilities.19 Absent this express exemption, the Initiative could apply to development of non -classroom facilities, if such development included one of the enumerated legislative changes and met the threshold criteria. Because of this express exemption, the Initiative does not apply to development of a public school — which would include any school within the Newport Mesa Unified School District. This exemption would also apply to charter schools, which, unlike school districts, do not have the option of exempting themselves from a local zoning ordinance .20 This exemption also applies to development of "hospitals", which, unlike public schools, do not normally have an ability to exempt themselves from the City's zoning ordinance. Vested Rights Exception. A statute or ordinance may apply retroactively, if the legislative intent to do so is clearly apparent .21 Generally, such a law is invalid only if it encroaches on vested rights or impairs the obligations of contra Ct. 22 As discussed previously in this report, the earliest date the Initiative 19 See Gov Code § 53094; City of Santa Cruz v. Santa Cruz Sch. Bd. of Educ. (1989) 210 Cal.App.3d 1. 20 "Notwithstanding any other provision of this article, no school district may render a city or county ordinance inapplicable to a charter school facility pursuant to this article, unless the facility is physically located within the geographical jurisdiction of that school district." Gov Code § 53097.3. 21 Tevis v. San Francisco (1954) 43 Cal.2d 190, 195. 22 O'Connor v. Superior Court (1979) 90 Cal.App.3d 107, 114; Rosenblatt v. California State Board of Pharmacy (1945) 69 Cal.App.2d 69, 72. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 8 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects would take effect is November 25, 2016.23 Depending upon where in the process certain projects lie, the adoption of the Initiative could nonetheless prevent those projects going forward depending upon whether the developer has obtained a vested right to proceed with the project. A vested right to develop occurs fairly late in the development process. In Avco Community Developers v. South Coast Regional Commission24, the California Supreme Court held that a developer does not acquire a vested right to a project until building permits are issued, substantial work has been completed and the developer has incurred substantial liability in reliance on the permit. It appears that with Avco in mind, the Initiative authorizes completion of projects that have "vested" before the "effective date" of the ordinance 21 — at the earliest, November 25, 2016. In addition, some developers and cities have circumvented application of an initiative to existing projects by entering into a development agreement that freezes zoning regulations in place at the time the agreement. 26 Whether a development agreement will apply to an initiative generally depends on the language of the agreement itseIf. 27 In one instance, a project was able to go forward, in spite of a newly adopted initiative that would require voter approval because a vesting tentative tract map had been approved.28 In response, some initiative proponents have thwarted issuance of building permits by seeking a temporary injunction that would not be lifted until after the initiative's effective date.29 Violation of State or Federal Law & Taking of Private Pro These appear to be a "catch all" exemptions. It is axiomatic that the Initiative could not legally be applied in a manner that would violate state or federal law. However, in practice, these exceptions may prove difficult to administer. 23 The 2016 general election will be held on November 8, 2016. With the election results declared at the following City Council meeting of November 15, 2016 and effective date 10 days thereafter. 2a Avco Community Developers v. South Coast Regional Commission (1976) 17 Cal. 3d 785. 21 Section 7(b) provides, "This ordinance shall not preclude completion of a site-specific development that depends on a Major Change in Allowable Land Use approved before the effective date of this ordinance, if before such date, the holder of any permit or other entitlement for use for such development has lawfully and in good faith acquired a vested right, under state law, to carry out the development to completion." 26 See Pardee Construction Co. v. City of Camarillo (1984) 37 Cal.3d 465, 466 (Pardee involved a stipulated judgement rather than a development agreement, but is generally regarded as instructive on the issue on whether an agreement will exempt development from an initiative's reach). 27 See id. 28 This was a lower court decision that was not appealed - Davidon Homes v. City of Pleasant Hill, No. 297988, slip op. (Contra Costa Co. Sup. Ct., Sept. 23. 1987). 29 Simac Design, Inc. v. Alciati (1979) 92 Cal.App.3d 146, 150). Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 9 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Affordable Housing Proposals. In the past decade, the City has not processed an affordable housing project that applied the density bonus provisions pursuant to state law 30, and there are no pending applications for new affordable housing projects. Staff is not aware of any affordable housing proposals involving density bonuses within Costa Mesa, nor any that are required by "state or federal law". However, the broad language "affordable housing" and "required by state or federal law" —without definition — precludes a detailed analysis of this exception. Maior Change in Allowable Land Use of Property with Legal Non -Conforming Residential Units In the last decade, the City has not processed a major development site consisting of 40 dwelling units or more that involved demolition of existing non -conforming residential units. For purposes of the Initiative, the consideration of trip generation associated with "as -built" conditions would include the trips allocated to the existing non -conforming units. 31 Gov Code §§65915 — 65918. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 10 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects III. PLANNING ANALYSIS A. Comparative Growth Measures For the purposes of this analysis, the following land use change measures were evaluated: 1. The amount of development that currently exists in Costa Mesa; 2. The amount of development allowed by the current General Plan; and 3. The amount of development allowed by the General Plan Update. The results of this comparative analysis are detailed in Attachment I, and summarized in the following table: " DUs = Dwelling Units. 32 TSF = Thousands of Square Feet. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 11 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Existing Current General Plan Land Use Conditions General Plan Update Residential 31 DUs 42,263 48,859 51,894 Office 32 TSF 7,224 8,932 10,787 Commercial TSF 9,741 11,977 11,939 Light Industrial TSF 13,087 13,108 12,704 Lodging Rooms 4,149 4,349 3,023 Auto Dealership TSF 491 491 491 Public, Religious & Cultural TSF 1,273 1,519 1,519 Health Care Facilities Beds 920 920 570 Educational Facilities Students 37,965 39,351 39,351 Uses Measured by the Acre 1,543 1,459 1,537 Storage (TSF) TSF 1,171 877 530 " DUs = Dwelling Units. 32 TSF = Thousands of Square Feet. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 11 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects B. Inventory of Entitled Projects 1. Projects with Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses in the Past Eight Years The following table provides summaries of the projects that were approved for entitlements between 2007 and 2015 that would need to be considered for traffic -generation purposes if located within one-half mile of a development that would be defined as a Major Change in Allowable Land Use under the terms of the Initiative. Table A: Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses 2007 — 2015 Attachment II: Locations #1 - #6 Identified on a Citywide Map Application Date No. No. Approved Description Criteria Per Initiative 1 GP -11-02 11/15/2011 14850 Sunflower Ave. - Vacant site Sakioka Lot 2 (1,062 a.m./1,406 p.m.) TRIP BUDGETS FOR SAKIOKA Trip Budget LOT 2 2 GP -12-01 7/3/2012 1726 Superior Ave. Existing Trips — 0 (vacant site) The proposed project Project Trip —1,160 involves: (1) Demolishing an existing 11,000 sq. ft. building (former Tower Records) and constructing a new 14,310 sq. ft. Walgreens Store 3 GP -13-01 8/5/2014 125 E. Baker Street No. of Units - 240 A proposal for a five -story, Existing Trips — 506 240 -unit apartment complex Project Trips —1,569 (63 -foot maximum height Net Increase —1,090 proposed) at a density of 58 dwelling units per acre with a six -story parking structure 4 R-10-01 4/23/2010 1500 Mesa Verde Drive No. of Units - 224 PA -10-10 224 -unit Senior Housing Existing Trips — 0 (vacant site) Development Project Trips —1,007 5 GP -14-04 11/17/2015 2277 Harbor Blvd. No. of units — 224 R-14-04 224 -unit apartment Existing Trips —1,258 (fully PA -14-27 development to replace an occupied motel) existing 236 -room motel Project Trips —1,490 Net Increase — 232 (net increase) Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 12 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Table A: Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses 2007 — 2015 Attachment II: Locations #1 - #6 Identified on a Citywide Map Application Date 6 GP -06-03 11/20/2007 3350 Avenue of the Arts No. of Units - 120 A PA -14-11 11/18/2014 General Plan Amendment for No. of trips - 2,911 hotel development of a 200 -room Project trips — 771 hotel and 120 luxury high-rise Project Trips - 2,770 residential tower. (apartments) Source: General Plan and Zone Change Log 2007 — 2015 2. Projects not Defined as Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses in the Past Eight Years The following table identifies projects with approved entitlements between 2007 and 2015 in the Urban Plan areas that would not be defined as a Major Change in Allowable Land Use under the terms of the Initiative. These projects complied with the Urban Plan or the North Costa Mesa Specific Plan. Table B: Urban Plan or Specific Plan Project(s) 2007 - 2015 Not Defined as Major Changes in Allowable Land Use Under the Terms of the Initiative Application Date No. No. Approved Description Criteria Per Initiative A PA -14-11 11/18/2014 595 Anton Blvd. Existing Trips — 1,336 Revised Project -393 (restaurant uses) apartments units Project Trips - 2,770 (apartments) Net Increase —1,434 trips B PA -12-21 1/14/2013 1527 Newport Blvd. (Level No. of Units — 60 PA -13-07 05/13/2013 One) Existing Trips — 223 Project Trips - 935 C PA -13-22 11/12/2013 1677 Superior Pointe No. of Units — 49 (Superior Pointe) Existing Trips — 549 Project Trips - 578 D PA -08-04 07/28/2008 1036 W. 18th Street No. of Units — 30 Existing Trips —122 Project Trips - 478 E PA -13-21 03/04/2014 2025 Placentia Ave. (West No. of Units — 36 Place) Existing Trips — 200 ADT Project Trips — 270 ADT Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 13 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Table B: Urban Plan or Specific Plan Project(s) 2007 - 2015 Not Defined as Major Changes in Allowable Land Use Under the Terms of the Initiative F PA -14-29 05/11/2015 671 W. 17th Street (West No. of Units —177 Gateway - former Argotech) Existing Trips — 598 ADT Project Trips —1,542 ADT G PA -13-22 11/12/2013 1620 and 1644 Whittier Ave. No. of Units — 89 (Lighthouse - former Amtech) Existing Trips — 524 Project Trips - 981 Source: General Plan and Zone Change Log 2007 — 2015 The creation of the Westside Urban Plans required a General Plan Amendment, Rezone, and Zoning Code Amendment. The Urban Plans were adopted in April 2006 and the Plans themselves would have been subject to the Initiative if it existed at that time. However, although subsequent Urban Plan projects (Table B) may have involved increases in trip generation or greater than 40 residential units, none of these Westside Urban Plan projects would have been subject to the Initiative, because they complied with a previously approved Urban Plan. Similarly, the North Costa Mesa mid -rise residential projects listed in Table B were amendments to previously approved projects, but they did not require Specific Plan amendments. Therefore, while the 250 -unit mid -rise project at 580 Anton, and the Symphony Apartments involve increased trips, these projects were compliant with the Specific Plan and would not be theoretically subject to the Initiative. 3. Projects Approved Prior to 2007 The following table provides a summary of entitlements that were approved between 2002 and 2006. This table is provided for reference purposes to illustrate entitlements that theoretically would have been subject to the Initiative, and therefore theoretically would have been classified as a Major Change in Allowable Land Use. Because these projects were approved prior to the eight-year period established in the Initiative, the traffic generation from these developments projects would not be considered for purposes of identifying whether or not a development project is subject to the Initiative. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 14 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Table C: Examples of Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses Approved Prior to 2007 Application Date No. No. Approved Description Criteria Per Initiative A GP -02-04 01/20/04 1901 Newport Blvd. No. of trips — 842 Create site specific FAR and No. of dwellings — 145 site specific density (145 unit condominium development) B GP -02-06 10/18/04 1626-1640 Newport Blvd No. of trips (186 a.m. / 281 R-02-03 General Plan Amendment for p.m.) a site specific FAR of 0.40 for a moderate traffic use in the General Commercial land use designation (76,500 SF medical building) C GP -04-01 05/17/04 330 - 340 W. Bay Street Existing condition — 570 ADT R-04-01 General Plan Amendment No. of trips — 421 (44 units) from General Commercial to Net Increase — (-149) Medium Density Residential (44 Dwelling Units) D GP -04-02 08/02/04 1695 Superior Ave & 635 W. Net increase compared to GP R-04-02 17th Street —298 General Plan Amendment Add 10,945 SF of commercial from Light Industry to Neighborhood Commercial (10,945 SF commercial building) E GP -06-02 2006 GPA to allow High Rise No. of dwellings - 1269 Residential projects in the Cultural Arts Center, Urban Center Commercial, and High Density Residential land use designations. (described below) F GP -05-08 2006 675 Anton Blvd. No. of dwellings —180 (GP -06-02) General Plan Amendment for No. of trips — 346 (net 180 -unit residential high-rise increase) development at Pacific Arts Plaza in place of 67,450 SF office building G GP -05-09 2006 605 Town Center Dr. No. of trips — 484 (net (GP -06-02) Development of 80 increase) residential units atop of No. of dwellings — 80 14,000 SF of museum and ancillary commercial uses. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 15 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Table C: Examples of Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses Approved Prior to 2007 H GP -05-10 2006 3400 Bristol Street No. of trips — 525 (net (GP -06-02) General Plan Amendment to increase) allow addition of a high-rise No. of dwellings - 275 residential units in conjunction with a multi- story 200 -room hotel with 220,000 SF at 3400 Bristol Street and a 21 -story tower of 336,525 SF at 3420 Bristol Street GP -05-13 2006 595 Anton Blvd. No. of trips —1,336 (GP -06-02) Site specific density to allow (restaurant uses) 484 units No. of trips for apartments — Revised Project — 393 2,770 Apartments Net Increase —1,434 trips J GP -05-07 2006 580 Anton Blvd. No. of dwelling units — 250 (GP -06-02) Site specific density to allow No. of trips — 45 (net 250 units increase) K R-04-03 02/23/2004 3333 Hyland Ave. No. of trips - 3,254 Daily (net South Coast Collection increase) Demolition of 307,000 SF state Farm Building and construction of 312,540 SF for furniture, retail and food uses. 4. Senior Center Affordable Housing Project The 2008-2014 Housing Element described a potential affordable housing project at the Costa Mesa Senior Center at 695 West 19th Street. The Costa Mesa Senior Center was built by the City in 1991. This 2.7 -acre site has a General Commercial land use designation and is zoned C1 (Local Business District). The Center is currently overseen by the City's Parks & Community Services Department. The Center's mission is to maximize the quality of life among the older adult population of Costa Mesa and surrounding communities through provision of senior programs. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 16 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects The City had considered (in concept only) a high-density residential development on the existing Senior Center parking lot. This 1.4 -acre area could have potentially accommodated a residential low-rise building for seniors and/or families above a parking structure. The proposed project (in concept) involved a 150 -unit residential development at a density of 107 - dwelling units per acre. Fifty percent (50%) of the units were earmarked as affordable to very- low/low income households, for a total of 75 affordable units. This proposed conceptual senior/family housing project was located in the 19 West Urban Plan area, which established a mixed-use development overlay zone. In this case, the mixed uses involved the Senior Center (institutional use) and housing (residential use). Due to the location of the site in the Urban Plan area, a General Plan amendment or rezone would not have been required for this proposed project. C. Timing Implications of the Initiative on Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses Following is the City's processing timelines for projects involving major development proposals that require a General Plan Amendment, Rezone, Zoning Code Amendment, or Specific Plan Amendment: • For projects requiring an Initial Study/Mitigated Negative Declaration: Eight (8) to 10 months • For projects requiring an Environmental Impact Report: 12 to 18 months If these Major Changes in Allowable Land Uses are subject to the Initiative, following are the timing implications after the project is approved by the City Council: • Project must be considered at the next General Election, which occurs every two years. • Project may be considered by Special Election, which may occur anytime during the year. However, an approximately a six-month lead time for placement on ballot may be required for special elections. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 17 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects IV. COMPARISON TO A SAMPLE OF VOTER INITIATIVES At the March 15, 2016 City Council meeting, a member of the public identified 44 growth management initiatives that have been approved by the voters in California communities over the past 43 years. Summaries of the initiatives' characteristics are presented in Attachment 111.33 It is important to note that the effective date for each of the surveyed initiatives fell after the vote of the people was certified. None of these initiatives have a stated effective date that is retroactive to an earlier point in time. After reviewing the identified initiatives, it is KMA's opinion that only four of the initiatives are truly pertinent to the analysis of the proposed Costa Mesa Initiative. Of particular interest is Measure S (Greenlight) in the City of Newport Beach, which was approved by the voters in November 2000. A comparison of Newport Beach Measure S to the proposed Initiative follows, and summaries of the other three pertinent initiatives are presented in the following sections of this report. A. Comparison of Newport Beach Measure S to the Proposed Initiative The proposed Initiative has been likened to Measure S, which was approved by the Newport Beach voters on November 7, 2000, and is codified in the Section 423 of the Newport Beach City Charter. The specific comparison is that Measure S requires voter approval on general plan amendments for certain types of projects. However, there are a number of differences between Measure S and the proposed Initiative that are worth noting. To that end, the salient characteristics of Measure S and the proposed Initiative are compared in the following multi - page table: Form of Government Effective Date Voter approval required for Major Amendments to identified Planning documents Newport Beach: Measure S Charter City December 15, 2000 - 38 days after the election. Proposed Initiative General Law City July 17, 2015 — 16 months before the election. General Plan General Plan, Zoning Code, Specific Plans, and Overlay Plans 33 Twenty (20) of the identified initiatives related to the establishment of Urban Growth Boundaries. Given the lack of relevance to the proposed Initiative, summaries were only provided for the other 24 identified initiatives. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 18 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Newport Beach: Measure S Major Amendments are defined as any of the following: Trips: Measurement Measured against the trip estimate for the maximum amount of floor area or dwelling units allowed by the General Plan. Threshold Increase of more than 100 trips in the morning peak hour or more than 100 trips in the evening peak hour. Residential Development Increase of 100 dwelling units. Proposed Initiative Measured against "as built" conditions. Increase of over 200 average trips per day, or Increase in the volume/capacity of an intersection based on specified Levels of Service (LOS) measures, or Increase in the Intersection Capacity Utilization from less than .9 to greater than .9; or Change in the LOS at any intersection or corridor from better than "D" to worse than "D". Increase of 40 dwelling units. Non -Residential Development Increase of 40,000 square Increase of 10,000 square feet of gross building area. feet of area. Changes that required discretionary approval on sites within the Neighborhood Definition of Neighborhood Statistical Areas as defined in the Land Use Element of the General Plan. mile of the proposed development site. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 19 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Definition of Changes Time Period Other instances that a vote is required Planning Commission and City Council Approval Newport Beach: Measure S Increases created by the proposed project plus 80% of the increases related to other amendments affecting the same Neighborhood. Excludes projects that were approved by the voters. Preceding 10 years None identified Any required CEQA documentation must be prepared and certified. City Council must decide any discretionary land use approval or permit for the proposed Amendment. Proposed Initiative Increases created by the proposed project and 100% of the increases created by projects that received minor changes that would not by themselves require voter approval. Preceding eight years Land designated as a utility right-of-way under specified circumstances. Land is donated, bequeathed or otherwise granted to the City. Land used or designated for Costa Mesa school property. Land owned, controlled or managed by the City. Any required CEQA documentation must be prepared and certified. City Council must approve the Amendment pursuant to all state and local laws applicable to the approval of the proposed land use changes. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 20 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Election Timing Newport Beach: Measure S At a noticed public hearing tied to the approval of the Amendment, the City Council must schedule an election. The election may be held at the next regular municipal election, or at a special election if the City and the proponent have entered into a written agreement to share the costs. Initiative related requirements None stated for receipt of a Certificate of Occupancy Proposed Initiative The election may be set for the first regular municipal election following City Council approval of the Amendment, or at a special election if the cost is borne solely by the proponent. All traffic impacts must be mitigated, the City must have received payment of the then current trip fees, and an enforceable agreement must have been executed that specifies any other mitigation measures. As indicated in the preceding table, the similarities between the two growth management measures include the fact that voter approval is required for general plan amendments that generate a certain number of increased car trips, adding a certain number of dwelling units and adding non-residential floor area. However, the Initiative proposed in Costa Mesa is more expansive than Newport Beach Measure S in the following key ways: 1. The Initiative also applies to the General Plan, Zoning Ordinances, Specific Plans and Overlay plans. Measure S only applies to modifications to the General Plan. 2. The Initiative applies to residential projects with an increase of 40 units versus Measure S at 100 units. 3. The Initiative applies to an increase of 10,000 square feet for non-residential projects versus Measure S at 40,000 square feet. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 21 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects 4. The Initiative sets the maximum increase in trips at 200 average daily traffic versus Measure S, which sets the maximum at 100 additional morning or evening peak period trips. The Initiative also applies several Level of Service and volume/capacity tests. 5. The Initiative applies voter -approval requirements to projects where General Plan, Zoning Ordinance or Specific Plan amendments have been adopted, but the projects have not vested. 6. The Initiative prohibits issuance of a Certificate of Occupancy until impacts have been mitigated. B. Summaries of Other Similar Initiatives 1. City of Redondo Beach — Measure DD - 2008 Measure DD was approved by the voters on November 4, 2008. Measure DD went into effect on December 16, 2008. Measure DD is codified in City Charter Section 27. Measure DD requires voter approval for any "Major Change in Allowable Land Use" to the general plan, including its local coastal element and the City's zoning ordinance. "Significant Increase" is defined as any project that requires a general plan amendment that increases traffic by more than 150 trips during the peak hours in the morning or evening; the density increase generated by the project produces more than 25 dwelling units; or 40,000 square feet of commercial area. In addition, Measure DD calculations must be applied to the cumulative amount of development, that required an amendment to the general plan, that occurred within the same neighborhood within the preceding eight years. Neighborhood is defined as all properties located either entirely or partially within 1,000 feet of any parcel or lot that is subject to a proposed change in allowable land use. 2. City of Encinitas — Proposition A — 2013 Proposition A was approved by the voters on June 18, 2013. The initiative became effective on July 21, 2013. Proposition A requires vote approval when publicly or privately initiated "Major Amendments" are proposed to a "Planning Policy Document". Planning Policy Documents are defined as the Land Use Element and Land Use Policy Maps of the General Plan; the Zoning Code and Zoning Map; and specific plan or development agreement. Major Amendments are defined as: Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 22 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Increases in the number of dwelling units on a residential lot; 2. Increases in the number of separate parcels that may be created from an existing parcel; 3. Changes in identified zone types; 4. Changes from residential land use to non-residential land use; 5. Increases in the maximum height of development and how height is measured; 6. Increases in the maximum allowable commercial or retail square footage on a parcel; and 7. An action that repeals any Planning Policy Document. Proposition A imposes a citywide height limit of two stories or 30 feet for all buildings and structures, except for medical complex development projects and specified buildings with a public high school on a minimum 10 -acre site. Proposition A also preserves agricultural lands and open space. 3. City of Escondido — Proposition S —1998 Proposition S requires a public vote for any general plan amendment or the creation of any new Specific Plan Area if it involves an increase in the residential density; a change, alteration or increase in the general plan's residential land use categories; and a change of the land use designation of any property from residential to industrial or commercial use. Proposition S essentially asked the voters to affirm the general plan in place as of 1997, and to subject any significant land use changes to a vote of the people. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 23 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects V. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS A. Impact of Voter -Approval Requirements The Initiative imposes voter -approval requirements on a wide range of developments that are anticipated to occur under the auspices of the General Plan Update. The City's Planning Department staff has concluded that the implementation of the General Plan Update will require properties to be rezoned, and/or modifications will need to be made to existing specific plans. It is possible that these implementing actions will trigger the Initiative requirements for voter approval. The voter -approval requirement adds a significant component of uncertainty in the development process that can discourage investment in new major development projects, and in the recycling of underutilized or blighted properties. This is particularly relevant to the following components of the General Plan Update: The Harbor Boulevard and Newport Boulevard Residential Incentive Areas, and the Harbor Mixed -Use Overlay; 2. The LA Times site, which is located at the intersection of Harbor Boulevard and South Coast Drive; 3. The SoBECA area, which includes a land use redesignation that allows residential units to be constructed; 4. The Segerstrom Home Ranch and Sakioka Site — Lot 2 in the North Costa Mesa Specific Plan Area; and 5. The redevelopment of the Fairview Developmental Center. The development process is fraught with several levels of risk, but in general developers seek out development opportunities in which the entitlement process is well defined and uncertainty is minimized. The imposition of a voter -approval requirement has the following key impacts: It increases the inherent risk that a project will not be approved; 2. It requires developers to make a substantial investment of capital prior to placing the proposed project in front of the voters; and Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 24 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects 3. It prolongs the development process, which increases the carrying costs incurred by the proposed project. Measuring the impacts created by voter -approval requirements is a hotly debated issue. To date, very little empirical research on this topic has been undertaken. However, there is some anecdotal evidence of the impacts created by the growth management initiatives that KMA reviewed. The results are summarized in the following sections of this report. 1. Impacts Generated by Surveyed Initiatives City of Newport Beach — Measure S Measure S was placed into effect in December 2000. In 2001, Koll Development proposed an office tower, and in 2004 a five-star hotel was proposed on the Balboa Peninsula. Both projects required voter approval, and both projects were defeated at the ballot box. Subsequently, the Irvine Company withdrew a proposed expansion to Newport Center and Pacific Life withdrew an office expansion project. No projects that require a vote have been proposed since 2004. On July 25, 2006, the City Council adopted a comprehensive update to the general plan. This update reduced the allowable non-residential development by 449,499 square feet, increased the allowable residential development by 1,166 dwelling units, and reduced peak hour trips by 1,121 in the morning and 958 in the evening. It was determined that this general plan update was subject to voter approval, and it was placed on the ballot as Measure V. A competing measure that was called Measure X (Greenlight II) was placed on the ballot as well. In the election, which was held on November 7, 2006, Measure X failed and Measure V passed by a 54% to 46% margin. City of Redondo Beach — Proposition DD Proposition DD was placed into effect in December 2008. In November 2010, the City placed Measure G on the ballot. Measure G was a proposed change to the Redondo Beach Local Coastal Plan (LCP) and the Zoning Ordinance for the Coastal Plan. The amendment also called for major changes in existing policies and development standards. The modifications to the LCP and the Zoning Ordinance allowed for 400,000 square feet of development in the harbor area; 540,000 square feet of development along Catalina Avenue, and the continuation of the AES power plant and the addition of a desalination plant. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 25 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Measure G was approved by the voters in November 2010. In October 2012, the City Council selected a developer to undertake the development of a large-scale mixed-use project at King Harbor. In February 2016, a citizens group commenced a signature drive to place an initiative on the ballot to impose stricter limits on development than were imposed by Measure G. City of Escondido — Proposition S After the initiative passed in 1998, the City attempted to identify property owners that wished to change their land use designation. Initially, 16 property owners submitted proposals to modify their land use designation. Eight developers subsequently withdrew from the process, and chose to develop under the existing land use designation for their property. The other eight property owners proceeded through the process and received City Council approval. These projects included increasing the number of residential units on four properties from 146 units to 284 units; three properties called for changing residential land to light industrial; and one changed residential to commercial use. Each of the eight ballot measures failed. This had a chilling effect on property owners applying for land use designation changes. In May 2012, the City Council approved an update to the general plan, which was the first comprehensive update since 1990. Proposition S requires that amendments to defined components of the general plan can only occur after a vote of the people if the proposed changes increase residential density, change the general plan land use categories, or change certain residential designations to commercial or industrial designations. The general plan update was placed on the November 2012 ballot as Proposition N, and it passed 53% to 47%. City of Encinitas — Proposition S Proposition S went into effect in July 2013. It is too early to determine what impact the voter - approval requirements will have on future development. However, it should be noted that the major residential developments that have been proposed since Proposition S was enacted have applied for the state density bonus. 2. Conclusions — Impact of Voter -Approval Requirements A review of the available scholarly literature indicates that there is consistent evidence that imposing voter -approval requirements on proposed development creates a negative impact on development opportunities. This impact is caused by the combination of the increased uncertainty involved in the development approval process, the additional costs incurred during the process, and by the fact that voters rarely approve projects that are put forward for a vote. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 26 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects It is interesting to note that the general plan updates that KMA reviewed achieved voter approval. However, this finding should be considered in the context that in both Newport Beach and Redondo Beach, citizen groups placed competing initiatives on the ballot to impose even stricter development controls than were imposed by the initial growth management initiatives. B. Financial Feasibility of Revitalization and Major New Development 1. Revitalization Harbor Boulevard and Newoort Boulevard Overlav Areas The General Plan Update includes Overlays along Harbor Boulevard and Newport Boulevard that encourage the recycling of underutilized and blighted properties. The Harbor Mixed -Use Overlay allows residential development to be included in mixed-use projects at a density of up to 20 -units per acre. The Residential Incentive areas on Harbor Boulevard and Newport Boulevard allow for residential development at up to 40 -units per acre. These Overlay areas were created to expand development opportunities on properties that are not developed to their full potential, or that are improved with outdated buildings and underperforming uses. Surveys of Costa Mesa property sales are presented in Attachment IV — Exhibit A. As can be seen in Exhibit A, the weighted average cost of vacant land is $57 per square foot of land area. Comparatively, the weighted average cost of improved retail properties is $111 per square foot of land area. This difference is attributable to the value associated with the existing improvements. The key constraint associated with the private market recycling properties along commercial boulevards is the premium costs associated with purchasing improved properties. Unless a new development project can support a land value that is higher than the combined value of the land and existing improvements, there is no financial incentive for a developer to recycle improved properties. As a result, overtime, the boulevards become characterized by functionally obsolete buildings and marginal businesses. The ability to develop residential units on the boulevards materially increases the land value that can be supported. KMA prepared a conceptual pro forma analysis to provide an order -of - magnitude estimate of residential density that would be required to support the values for improved commercial parcels. As shown in Attachment IV — Exhibit B, the required density level is in the range of 54 units per acre. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 27 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects It is clear that the residential development anticipated in these Overlay areas will exceed the 40 -unit trigger established by the Initiative. Given the premium costs associated with acquiring improved properties, if development in these Overlay areas require voter approval, the potential for achieving recycling of existing underutilized and blighted properties will be severely constrained. LA Times Overlay Area The General Plan Update calls for the LA Times site to be converted from a General Plan designation of Industrial Park, to an Overlay that allows for office and retail development. As will be discussed in the Fiscal and Economic Impact section of this report, the intensification of the land use is anticipated to generate substantially greater General Fund revenues and economic development benefits than can be generated by the existing manufacturing uses. The land uses allowed by the proposed Overlay generate as much as 655,000 square feet of office and retail space. This is 281,000 square feet more space than the 374,000 square feet of manufacturing space that is currently located on the property, which triggers the commercial intensity trigger. Even if the project size was reduced to 374,000 square feet, the intensification of the uses would trigger the trip count limit applied in the Initiative. Therefore, if the development envisioned in the General Plan Update requires voter approval, it can be safely assumed that the existing manufacturing uses will remain in place throughout the foreseeable future. SoBECA Overlay The current General Plan designation for the SoBECA area is General Commercial and Light Industrial. The SoBECA Overlay allows for up to a total of 450 residential units to be developed at a maximum density of 40 -units per acre. The addition of high density residential development is intended to further the goal of creating an innovative, eclectic and unique mix of uses in the SoBECA area. The residential population base is anticipated to provide additional support for the local incubator -type businesses that are already located in the area. Given the site characteristics in the SoBECA area, it is anticipated that mixed-use development will not be large scale. If the inclusion of residential development triggers a voter -approval requirement, it is unlikely that the types of developers that will be attracted to the area will have the risk profile or the financial capacity to go through an entitlement process that includes a vote of the people. Instead, it should be anticipated that development will be focused on a mix of uses that do not trigger the Initiative's voter -approval requirements. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 28 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects 2. Development of Vacant Land Costa Mesa is currently 99% built out. The two largest remaining vacant parcels in Costa Mesa are the Segerstrom Home Ranch site and Sakioka Site — Lot 2. Both of these properties are located in the North Costa Mesa Specific Plan area. Segerstrom Home Ranch Site Under the requirements imposed by the North Costa Mesa Specific Plan, the property can be developed with approximately 759,000 square feet of office and office -related uses. However, in 2016, the City created a specific site floor area ratio (FAR) that increased the allowable development intensity to .64:1. This allows for up to 1.2 million square feet of building area. The site specific FAR allowance explicitly prohibits the inclusion of residential development on the property. In addition, the maximum intensity is limited by the trip budget that was set at 1,860 during the morning peak, and 1,788 during the evening peak. It is clear that the Segerstrom Home Ranch development will be a major economic driver in Costa Mesa. It is difficult to assess how the property owner will proceed if it is ultimately determined that the FAR allowance provided in 2016 is subject to the voter -approval requirements imposed by the Initiative. Sakioka Site — Lot 2 The scope of development allowed for the Sakioka Site — Lot 2 is defined in a Development Agreement that identifies the maximum building area, FAR, trip budget and allowable uses. However, the allowable development intensity is dictated by the trip budget that was established by the North Costa Mesa Specific Plan. The General Plan Update's land use recommendation for the property is for 660 residential units, which includes a 25% state density bonus.34 In return for this density bonus, the project must include an affordable housing component that comports with state law. The currently proposed land use requires an amendment to the North Costa Mesa Specific Plan. If this triggers a voter -approval requirement, it is unclear what actions the property owner will take in regard to the development of the site. 34 The North Costa Mesa Specific Plan was adopted in 1994. At that time the state density bonus was set at 25%. In 2005, the state modified the statute to provide a sliding scale of bonus density tied to the percentage of affordable units that are provided. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 29 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects 3. Fairview Developmental Center The current General Plan Designation for the Fairview property is Public/Institutional. In February 2016, the State of California Department of Development Services initiated a process that will lead to the closure of the Fairview Developmental Center. As part of that process, the State and the City devised a proposed new land use designation for the property. The proposed land use designation is called Multi -Use Center General Plan. The mix of uses identified in the General Plan Update consist of 500 residential units, 25.6 acres of park and open space, and 51.6 acres of Institutional & Recreation Uses. However, the land use designation, and corresponding Zoning District, will require a Master Plan for any future development projects, whether or not the property continues to be owned by the State or the property is sold to a private entity. If the Initiative passes, it is possible that the future development of the Fairview site will be subject to voter approval. This adds a significant amount of entitlement risk, and potential delays in the development process, for this 102.5 -acre property. This could also delay the creation of the park, open space and recreation uses identified in the General Plan Update. C. Fiscal and Economic Impact In a draft report dated February 26, 2016, the Natelson Dale Group evaluated the fiscal impacts generated by the buildout under the General Plan Update. As part of that draft report, the Natelson Dale Group identified the assumptions and calculation methodology that was applied to estimate the fiscal impacts associated with the land uses included in the General Plan Update. Based on the assumptions and calculation methodology applied in the draft Natelson Dale Group fiscal impact report, KMA prepared fiscal impact analyses for the Overlay areas and sites described in the preceding section of this report. In addition, KMA prepared economic impact analyses for the Overlay area and sites using the following data sources: The Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) for Orange County (2007/2013); and 2. The California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 30 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects The KMA analyses are detailed in Attachment V — Exhibits A — H, and the results are summarized in the following tables: 1. Residential Overlay Areas Scope of Development Residential Units Retail Square Feet Industrial Square Feet Population (FTE's) 31 Net Annual Fiscal Impact 36 Change from Current General Plan Direct & Indirect Economic Impact Change in Jobs Change in Earnings Scope of Development Residential Units Retail Square Feet Population (FTE's) Net Annual Fiscal Impact Change from Current General Plan Direct & Indirect Economic Impact Change in Jobs Change in Earnings Harbor Mixed -Use Overlay SoBECA Current General Plan Current General Plan General Plan Update General Plan Update 13 491 237 450 337,500 321,000 147,300 291,100 381 2,744 458,600 3,165 195 1,390 305 1,125 $1,390,000 $1,792,000 $696,400 $441,900 $402,000 ($254,500) (9) (487) ($364,000) ($16,508,000) Residential Incentive - Harbor Current General Plan General Plan Update Residential Incentive - Newport Current General Plan General Plan Update 84 1,063 237 1,210 356,800 178,400 582,200 291,100 381 2,744 872 3,165 $157,000 $1,772,000 $2,609,000 $2,376,000 $1,615,000 ($233,800) (102) (165) ($3,869,000) ($6,327,000) 3s FTE = Full -Time Equivalent. 36 Net Annual Fiscal Impact = Estimated General Fund Revenues minus General Fund Expenditures. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 31 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects As can be seen in the preceding tables, the General Plan Update development scopes all generate net annual General Fund revenues. Moreover, in both the Harbor Boulevard Mixed - Use Overlay and the Residential Incentive — Harbor areas, the net annual General Fund revenues are higher for the General Plan Update than the estimates for the current General Plan. As would be expected, the replacement of commercial development with residential development has a negative impact on the jobs and earnings generated by development in Costa Mesa. This reduction ranges from nine to 165 jobs, and from $364,500 to $6.3 million in earnings. However, the policy decision was made to provide the opportunity for residential development on the boulevards in order to ameliorate the existing underutilized and blighted properties. 2. LA Times Site (Overlay Area) The General Plan Update calls for the existing industrial land use to be replaced by retail and office development. This modification results in an increase in net General Fund revenues that is estimated at $631,700 per year. In addition, the modification is projected to generate 156 additional jobs and over $40 million in additional earnings. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 32 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects LA Times Site Current General Plan General Plan Update Scope of Development Residential Units Retail Square Feet 165,800 Office Square Feet 458,600 Industrial Square Feet 374,000 Population (FTE's) 299 417 Net Annual Fiscal Impact $66,700 $698,400 Change from Current General Plan $631,700 Direct & Indirect Economic Impact Change in Jobs 156 Change in Earnings $40,026,000 The General Plan Update calls for the existing industrial land use to be replaced by retail and office development. This modification results in an increase in net General Fund revenues that is estimated at $631,700 per year. In addition, the modification is projected to generate 156 additional jobs and over $40 million in additional earnings. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 32 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects 3. Vacant Sites As shown in the preceding table, the large-scale office development on the Segerstrom Home Ranch site dis not projected to generate a significant amount of net annual General Fund revenues. This is attributable to the fact that the primary General Fund revenue source is the share of the property tax received by the City. To generate significantly greater General Fund revenues, the project would need to include retail and/or hotel space. The Sakioka Site — Lot 2 and the Fairview site are both designated to be developed with residential uses. As can be seen in the table, both sites are anticipated to generate positive net annual General Fund revenues, ranging from $576,400 to $601,000 per year. Given the lack of commercial development on both sites, no increase in jobs or increase in earnings are projected for the sites. 4. Conclusion — Fiscal and Economic Impact Analyses The results of the fiscal impact analyses indicate that the focus areas in the General Plan Update are all projected to generate net positive annual General Fund revenues to the City. In addition, the Overlay areas and sites that include commercial uses are projected to increase the number of jobs and the earnings generated by workers in Costa Mesa. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 33 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects Segerstrom Sakioka Site— Home Ranch Lot 2 Fairview Scope of Development Residential Units 660 500 Retail Square Feet Office Square Feet 1,200,000 Population (FTE's) 883 1,650 1,383 Net Annual Fiscal Impact $56,700 $601,000 $576,400 Change from Current General Plan Direct & Indirect Economic Impact Increase in Jobs 1,516 0 0 Increase in Earnings $139,781,000 $0 $0 As shown in the preceding table, the large-scale office development on the Segerstrom Home Ranch site dis not projected to generate a significant amount of net annual General Fund revenues. This is attributable to the fact that the primary General Fund revenue source is the share of the property tax received by the City. To generate significantly greater General Fund revenues, the project would need to include retail and/or hotel space. The Sakioka Site — Lot 2 and the Fairview site are both designated to be developed with residential uses. As can be seen in the table, both sites are anticipated to generate positive net annual General Fund revenues, ranging from $576,400 to $601,000 per year. Given the lack of commercial development on both sites, no increase in jobs or increase in earnings are projected for the sites. 4. Conclusion — Fiscal and Economic Impact Analyses The results of the fiscal impact analyses indicate that the focus areas in the General Plan Update are all projected to generate net positive annual General Fund revenues to the City. In addition, the Overlay areas and sites that include commercial uses are projected to increase the number of jobs and the earnings generated by workers in Costa Mesa. Election Code Section 9212 Report Page 33 An Initiative to Require Voter Approval on Certain Development Projects ATTACHMENT I LAND USE AND TRIPS ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA ATTACHMENT I LAND USE CHANGES ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA Unit of Existing Current General Updated General Land Use Measurement Conditions Plan Amount Plan Amount I. Residential Low Density Residential DU 14,210 14,788 14,791 Medium Density Residential DU 4,370 4,791 4,992 High Density Residential DU 23,593 28,830 31,661 Age Qualified Housing DU 450 450 450 Total Residential 42,623 48,859 51,894 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount 3,035 II. Office General Office TSF 7,112 8,820 10,675 Medical Office TSF 112 112 112 Total Office 7,224 8,932 10,787 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount 1,855 III. Commercial General Commercial TSF 5,601 7,337 7,299 Regional Commercial TSF 4,140 4,640 4,640 Total Commercial 9,741 11,977 11,939 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount (38) IV. Light Industrial TSF 13,087 13,108 12,704 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount (404) V. Lodging Hotel Room 1,877 2,077 2,077 Motel Room 2,272 2,272 946 Total Lodging 4,149 4,349 3,023 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount (1,326) VI. Auto Dealership TSF 491 491 491 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount 0 VII. Public, Religious & Cultural Uses City Hall TSF 133 133 133 Performance Theater TSF 585 691 691 Religious Facility TSF 555 555 555 Museum TSF 140 140 Total Public, Religious & Cultural Uses 1,273 1,519 1,519 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount 0 VIII. Health Care Facilities Convalescent Care Bed 448 448 448 Hospital Bed 472 472 122 Total Health Care Facilities 920 920 570 Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount (350) Source: City of Costa Mesa Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; GP Use Comp ATTACHMENT I LAND USE CHANGES ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA Unit of Existing Current General Updated General Land Use Measurement Conditions Plan Amount Plan Amount IX. Educational Facilities Elementary/Middle School High School College/University Total Educational Facilities Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount X. Uses Measured by the Acre Golf Course Public Facility Fairgrounds Passive Park Agriculture Vacant Total Uses Measured by the Acre Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount Student 7,385 8,067 8,067 Student 4,590 4,998 4,998 Student 25,990 26,286 26,286 37,965 39,351 39,351 0 Acre 535 535 535 Acre 176 176 228 Acre 150 150 150 Acre 592 592 618 Acre 72 0 0 Acre 18 6 6 1,543 1,459 1,537 78 XI. Storage TSF Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount Abbreviations DU - Dwelling Unit TSF - Thousands of Square Feet Source: City of Costa Mesa Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; GP Use Comp 1,171 877 530 (347) ATTACHMENT I - TABLE 2 TRIP GENERATION ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA Existing Current General Updated General Conditions Plan Amount Plan Amount Trip Generation (Daily) 1,018,790 1,229,125 1,244,140 II. Increase/(Decrease) from Current General Plan Amount III. Percentage Change from Current General Plan Amount Source: City of Costa Mesa Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; GP Traffic Comp 15,015 1.2% ATTACHMENT II MAP OF MAJOR CHANGES IN LAND USES 2007 - 2015 ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA l MacArthur Blvd. SantaAna owl�r ' n 1 � liika '� ■ - ■ ■■r r� _■■1 o.� n� r 3 � �� � ■' 1� ., . - ege Arlington Dr. 00,10 Fairview Park OC Fair & Event Center 00"" 55 albe"RT== - ■MINI 5 ����n� ,l% Park R m1m No, lip, =J III - �■ � _ .�: _. _ _ city of Newport Beach 15th St. / Pacific Ocean 7 sfh IL - City Boundaries Source: City of Costa Mesa, 2015. Costa Mesa City Boundary Feet Costa Mesa Sphere of Influence 11 0 1,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 ATTACHMENT III SUMMARIES OF CALIFORNIA GROWTH MANAGEMENT INITIATIVES ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA CITY OF ALAMEDA - MEASURE A —1973 Measure A prohibited multiple dwelling units to be constructed anywhere in the City of Alameda. Measure A was amended in April 1986 to allow multifamily units that were destroyed by fire or other disaster to be replaced. Measure A was amended in 1991 to establish a minimum residential lot size of 2,000 square feet. In July 2011, the City Council adopted an ordinance to create new zoning districts that allow for the development of multifamily homes. This was enacted so that the City of Alameda could obtain a certified Housing Element. COUNTY OF ALAMEDA — MEASURE D —1980 Measure D was approved by the voters in November 2000. Measure D created a urban growth boundary around the cities of Pleasanton, Dublin and Livermore. Under Measure D, the County may not approve urban development outside the Urban Growth Boundary, or to subdivide farmland into parcels smaller than 100 acres. This requirement was also imposed on the valley between Castro Valley and Pleasanton Ridge. Any change to the changes in policies called for in Measure D require a countywide vote of the people. CITY OF APPLE VALLEY — MEASURE N —1999 Measure N was approved by the voters in November 1999. The Measure became effective January 1, 2000. Measure N required the City to readopt the goals and policies of the 1991 Land Use Element; to readopt the land use designations and land use map included in the 1998 Land Use Element; and to prohibit any change to the two -unit per acre density and 18,000 square foot minimum lot size for properties zoned F -SF (Single Family Residential). Any changes to these requirements require a vote of the people. The initiative requirements remain in place until January 21, 2021. Election Code 9212 Report Page 2 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives CITY OF DUBLIN — MEASURE M — 2000 Measure M required a Resolution to be adopted to amend the City of Dublin General Plan to establish an Urban Limit Line in the Western Extended Planning Area for a 30 -year period. Measure M prohibited residential development on preserved open space located in the Dublin Hills. Any change to the Urban Limit Line requires a vote of the people. CITY OF ENCINITAS — PROPOSITION A — 2013 Proposition A was approved by the voters on June 18, 2013. The initiative became effective on July 21, 2013. Proposition A requires a vote of the people when publicly or privately initiated "Major Amendments" are proposed to a "Planning Policy Document". Planning Policy Documents are defined as the Land Use Element and Land Use Policy Maps of the General Plan; the Zoning Code and Zoning Map; and specific plan or development agreement. Major Amendments are defined as: Increases in the number of dwelling units on a residential lot; 2. Increases in the number of separate parcels that may be created from an existing parcel; 3. Changes in identified zone types; 4. Changes from residential land use to non-residential land use; 5. Increases in the maximum height of development and how height is measured; 6. Increases in the maximum allowable commercial or retail square footage on a parcel; and 7. An action that repeals any Planning Policy Document. Proposition A imposes a citywide height limit of two stories or 30 feet for all buildings and structures, except for medical complex development projects and specified building with a public high school on a minimum 10 -acre site. Proposition A also preserves agricultural lands and open space. Election Code 9212 Report Page 3 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives CITY OF ESCONDIDO — PROPOSITION S —1998 Proposition S requires a public vote for any General Plan Amendment or the creation of any new Specific Plan Area if it involves an increase in the residential density; a change, alteration or increase in the General Plan's residential land use categories; and a change of the land use designation of any property from residential to industrial or commercial use. Proposition S essentially asked the voters to affirm the General Plan in place as of 1997, and to require any significant land use changes to a vote of the people. After the initiative passed, the City attempted to identify property owners that wished to change their land use designation. Initially, 16 property owners submitted proposals to modify their land use designation. Eight developers subsequently withdrew from the process, and chose to develop under the existing land use designation for their property. The other eight property owners proceeded through the process and received City Council approval. These projects included increasing the number of residential units on four properties from 146 units to 284 units; three properties called for changing residential land to light industrial; and one changed residential to commercial use. Each of the eight ballot measures failed. This had a chilling effect on property owners applying for land use designation changes. In May 2012, the City Council approved an update to the general plan, which was the first comprehensive update since 1990. Proposition S requires that amendments to defined components of the general plan can only occur after a vote of the people if the proposed changes increase residential density, change the general plan land use categories, or change certain residential designations to commercial or industrial designations. Proposition N was placed on the November 2012 ballot, and it passed with a margin of 53% to 47%. CITY OF HALF MOON BAY — MEASURE D —1999 In 1991 Measure A established a "Residential Dwelling Unit Building Permit Allocation System" that limited population growth to 3% per year. In 1999 Measure D was adopted to reduce the allowable annual population growth to 1% plus an additional .5% for residential development in an area designated as the downtown. The allocation of units must comport with a defined allocation system. Election Code 9212 Report Page 4 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives CITY OF LOMA LINDA — MEASURE V — 2006 Measure V limits development in the South Hills by limiting development to single-family homes in clusters. No commercial recreational developments are allowed on the hills' northern slopes. Residential units cannot exceed 35 feet in height and must be on lots that are at least 7,200 square feet. Measure V resulted in a new Growth Management Element of the General Plan, which can only be modified with a vote of the people. CITY OF LOS ANGELES — MEASURE U —1996 Proposition U reduced by 50% the allowable density on commercial and industrial properties throughout Los Angeles, with the exception of Downtown. The focus of the initiative was to eliminate the potential for large, high intensity buildings to be constructed adjacent to residential neighborhoods. CITY OF MARINA — MEASURE E — 2000 In 2000, Measure E established an Urban Growth Boundary. Measure E focused growth on the property that had formerly been occupied by Fort Ord. Measure E was designed to prevent urban sprawl. CITY OF MORGAN HILL — MEASURE A — 2009 Since 1977, the City of Morgan Hill has used a Residential Development Control System (RDCS), which is meant to ensure that new development can be served by existing infrastructure and public services. Some components of the RCDS were established through a voter approved ballot initiative. In 2009, the voters passed an initiative that provided an exemption to the RDCS. This exemption allows up to 500 residential allotments for the 20 -block area designated by the Downtown Specific Plan. CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH — MEASURE S — 2000 Measure S was approved by the voters on November 7, 2000. The Measure became effective on December 15, 2000. Measure S is codified in City Charter Section 423. Measure S requires voter approval for any "Major Amendment" to the General Plan. Major Amendment is defined as any project that requires a General Plan amendment that increases traffic by more than 100 trips during the Election Code 9212 Report Page 5 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives peak hours in the morning or evening; 100 dwelling units; or 40,000 square feet of commercial area. In addition, Measure S calculations must be applied to the cumulative amount of development, that required an amendment to the General Plan, that has occurred within defined Statistical Areas. This is measured by taking the proposed project plus 80% of the increase associated with projects with amendments that were processed over the previous 10 years. Projects that were subject to votes of the people are excluded from the calculations. Koll Development proposed an office tower in 2001, and in 2004 a five-star hotel was proposed on the Balboa Peninsula. Both projects required a vote of the people, and both projects were defeated at the ballot box. Subsequently, the Irvine Company withdrew a proposed expansion to Newport Center and Pacific Life withdrew an office expansion project. No projects that require a vote have been proposed since 2004. On July 25, 2006, the City Council adopted a comprehensive update to the General Plan. This update reduced the allowable non-residential development by 449,499 square feet, increased the allowable residential development by 1,166 dwelling units, and reduced peak hour trips by 1,121 in the morning and 958 in the evening. It was determined that this General Plan update was subject to a vote of the people, and it was placed on the ballot as Measure V. A competing measure that was called Measure X (Greenlight II) was placed on the ballot as well. In the election, which was held on November 7, 2006, Measure X failed and Measure V passed by a 54% to 46% margin. CITY OF PLEASANTON — MEASURE PP — 2008 Measure PP prohibits residential units to be constructed on slopes of 25% or greater, or within 100 vertical feet of a ridgeline. Housing developments with 10 or fewer units are exempt from the Measure PP requirements. After January 1, 2007, properties cannot be subdivided in any way to become exempt from this requirement. CITY OF RANCHO MIRAGE — MEASURE N — 2006 The City Council placed Measure N on the ballot. The Measure clarifies a 1994 ballot measure that limits most new structures to a maximum of 20 feet or one story. The clarification states that the maximum is both one story and 20 feet, with identified exceptions for larger lots and commercial development. Election Code 9212 Report Page 6 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives CITY OF REDLANDS - MEASURE U -1997 Measure U was approved by the voters on November 4, 1997, certified on December 2, 1997, and became effective on December 12, 1997. Measure U added a section to the City's General Plan called "Principles of Managed Development". This section included the following requirements: Development projects must pay 100% of their pro rata share of the cost of infrastructure and services needs generated by the project. 2. Every project that requires a General Plan Amendment, Zoning Amendment, Subdivision Map; Specific Plan, or for projects larger than 5,000 square feet, a Conditional Use Permit, is required to submit a socio-economic analysis and cost -benefit analysis. Project approval is dependent on the study finding that the project will not create unmitigated physical blight or overburden City services, and that the City benefits out weigh the costs. With a 4/5 vote, the City Council can approve a development project that does not meet the socio-economic test if they find that the benefits to the City outweigh the negative socio-economic effects that may result. 3. Development within the City's planning area and sphere of influence must conform to the development standards imposed within the City. 4. The density standards imposed on residential development cannot be increased, and no new residential land use classification can be added without a vote of the people. No transfer of development rights is permitted with the exception of single-family residential, which can be transferred to create or preserve agricultural, open space, school or park uses. 5. Agricultural land is to be preserved to the greatest extent possible consistent with Proposition R and Measure N that were passed in 1978 and 1987, respectively. 6. Development in San Timoteo must preserve the area in as natural a state as possible. 7. Limitations on traffic levels of service, noise levels and the size of billboards are imposed. Exemptions to the requirements are provided to the following: Any project that had a vested right prior to the Effective Date of Measure U; Election Code 9212 Report Page 7 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives 2. Defined "Special Categories of Development"; and 3. Uses that directly further the institutional purposes of churches, hospitals, schools and identified organizations are exempt from traffic level service requirements and the socio-economic study requirement. CITY OF REDONDO BEACH — MEASURE DD - 2008 Measure DD was approved by the voters on November 4, 2008. Measure DD went into effect on December 16, 2008. Measure DD is codified in City Charter Section 27. Measure DD requires voter approval for any "Major Change in Allowable Land Use" to the General Plan, including its local coastal element and the City's zoning ordinance. "Significant Increase" is defined as any project that requires a General Plan amendment that increases traffic by more than 150 trips during the peak hours in the morning or evening; the density increase generated by the project produces more than 25 dwelling units; or 40,000 square feet of commercial area. In addition, Measure DD calculations must be applied to the cumulative amount of development, that required an amendment to the General Plan, that occurred within the same neighborhood within the preceding eight years. Neighborhood is defined as all properties located either entirely or partially within 1,000 feet of any parcel or lot that is subject to a proposed change in allowable land use. In November 2010, the City placed Measure G on the ballot. Measure G was a proposed change to the Redondo Beach Local Coastal Plan (LCP) and the Zoning Ordinance for the Coastal Plan. The amendment called for major changes in existing policies and development standards. The modifications to the LCP and the Zoning Ordinance allowed for 400,000 square feet of development in the harbor area; 540,000 square feet of development along Catalina Avenue, and the continuation of the AES power plant and the addition of a desalination plant. Measure G was approved by the voters in November 2010. In October 2012, the City Council selected a developer to undertake the development of a large-scale mixed-use project at King Harbor. In February 2016, a citizens group commenced a signature drive to place an initiative on the ballot to impose stricter limits on development than were imposed by Measure G. Election Code 9212 Report Page 8 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives CITY OF RIVERSIDE — PROPOSITION R - 1979 AND PROPOSITION C —1987 Proposition C was placed on the ballot in 1987 to amend the requirements imposed by Proposition R, which was adopted in in 1979. Proposition C was approved by the voters in November 1987, and also went into effect in November 1987. Proposition R set forth goals and policies for development in a 755 -acre area defined and named the La Sierra Lands. In general, Proposition R required the City to apply residential agricultural and residential conservation zoning classifications to the La Sierra Lands. In 1987, Proposition C required the City to adopt a Specific Plan for the La Sierra Lands and further established planning objectives for the Specific Plan. Proposition C also modified the requirements imposed by Proposition R, to delete City Council authority to amend the Ordinance with a 2/3 vote. The modification required any amendment or repeal to the Ordinance to be subject to a vote of the people. CITY OF SANTA BARBARA — MEASURE E —1989 Measure E was approved by the voters in November 1989. Measure E went into effect on December 6, 1989. Measure E is codified in City Charter Section 1508. Measure E limits the amount of new non-residential development within the City to 3 million square feet until 2010. COUNTY OF SANTA CRUZ — MEASURE J —1978 Measure J was approved by the voters on June 8, 1978. Measure J called for the County to adopt a strong, comprehensive growth management program. Measure J required the Board of Supervisors to pass an implementing program within six months of the Measure's passage. The Measure imposed a requirement that the Board of Supervisors annually set a population growth rate that reflects the County's fair share of the State's growth. Measure J also required the protection of agricultural land, the adoption of an urban/rural boundary and the protection of natural resources. The implementation of Measure J also included a requirement that residential projects with more than five units are required to set-aside 15% of the units for low and moderate income households. Election Code 9212 Report Page 9 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives CITY OF SANTA PAULA - MEASURE L 2006 Measure L-6 was approved by the voters on November 7, 2006. Measure L-6 resulted in an amendment to the Land use Element of the City's General Plan to subject the following to a vote of the people: Through December 31, 2025, to allow the Land Use Element to be amended to either increase the residential or commercial density, or to intensify land use; and 2. When a development or land use designation on land that either includes 81 or more contiguous acres, or is contiguous to other land for which the City Council had amended the Land Use Element at any time during the preceding five consecutive years when the cumulative acreage exceeds 81 acres. CITY OF SIERRA MADRE - MEASURE V - 2007 Measure V was approved by the voters on April 17, 2007, and went into effect on April 18, 2007. Measure V limits projects, in the 30 -acre downtown core, to two stories and 30 feet in height. Measure V limits residential development to 13 units per acre before consideration of the density bonus allowed by California Government Code Sections 65915-65918. Any proposed project that exceeds the defined limits requires voter approval. CITY OF SIMI VALLEY - MEASURE N - 2012 Measure N was approved by the voters on November 6, 2012. Measure N extended the "Managed Growth Plan" that regulates population growth by setting the maximum number of residential building permits that can be issued at 292 units per year. Measure N is a successor to two similar measures that were adopted in 1996 and 1986. In general, the Managed Growth Plan cannot be amended or repealed without a vote of the people. However, there is a procedure that allows for a 4/5 vote of the City Council following a review by the Neighborhood Councils and the Planning Commission. Election Code 9212 Report Page 10 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives CITY OF SAN DIEGO - PROPOSITION A - 1985 Proposition A was approved by the voters in November 1985. Proposition A requires a vote of the people before either of the following can occur: The land use designation for any property cannot be changed from "future urbanizing' in the Progress Guide and General Plan to any other land use designation; and 2. The provisions restricting development in the "Future Urbanizing Area" cannot be amended. Future Urbanizing Area is one of three planning areas designated by the City's General Plan and Progress Guide. The Future Urbanizing Area consist of regions that are reserved fro agricultural uses and open space. These areas accounted for most of the City's useable, undeveloped land. During the 10 years following the passage of Proposition A, three measures to approve development were placed on the ballot, and one of these measures passed. Between 1996 and 1998, nine developments were placed on the ballot and seven passed. Since 1998, no developments have been placed on the ballot. The Future Urbanizing Area designation is an interim designation designed to prevent premature development. The General Plan anticipated that over time the Future Urbanizing Area designation would be shifted to the planned urbanizing tier to accommodate the demand for growth. In 1992, the City adopted the North City Future Urbanizing Area Framework Plan. In 1994, a public vote approved a phase shift to precede completion of subarea plans to move to the planned urbanizing tier. This Plan recognized the impact uncertainty about future land use intensity and location have on sizing and financing an urban level of facilities and services. COUNTY OF VENTURA - SOAR INITIATIVE -1998 The County SOAR (Save Open -Space and Agricultural Resources) initiative was enacted on November 3, 1998. The initiative requires countywide voter approval before the Ventura County Board of Supervisors can rezone for development any unincorporated land designated under the County General Plan as open space, agricultural or rural. Voter approval is also needed for changes to a General Plan goals or policies related to those land -use designations. The SOAR regulations expire at the end of 2020. However, a campaign has commenced signature collection for an initiative to place an extension of the SOAR through 2050. Election Code 9212 Report Page 11 Summaries of California Growth Management Initiatives ATTACHMENT IV CASE STUDY ANALYSIS APARTMENT DEVELOPMENT ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT A CASE STUDY ANALYSIS PROPERTY SALES DATA Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Sales Comps ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT A CASE STUDY ANALYSIS PROPERTY SALES DATA ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA Vacant Land Sales 2101 Harbor Blvd 1/14/2016 8,773 $895,000 $102 1967 840 $1,065 Auto Repair 2076 Placentia Ave Price Per SF Land Use Address Sale Date Land Area (SF) Sales Price Land Commercial 2026 Placentia Ave 10/31/2014 33,106 $2,500,000 $76 Commercial 125 E. Baker St 9/17/2014 182,952 $12,300,000 $67 Industrial 1239 Victoria St 8/31/2015 75,446 $5,500,000 $73 Industrial 3370 Harbor Blvd 8/10/2015 174,240 $6,300,000 $36 Industrial 2025 Placentia Ave 4/8/2014 40,293 $2,024,000 $50 Residential 2880 Mesa Verde Dr E 7/1/2015 90,169 $4,150,000 $46 Residential 2015 Anaheim Ave 6/5/2014 61,855 $5,000,000 $81 II. Improved Retail Property Sales Building Type Address Weighted Average $57 Price Per SF Price/SF Sale Date Land Area (SF) Sales Price Land Year Built Rentable Area Rentable Area Fast Food 2101 Harbor Blvd 1/14/2016 8,773 $895,000 $102 1967 840 $1,065 Auto Repair 2076 Placentia Ave 10/28/2015 17,145 $1,775,000 $104 1969 6,900 $257 Freestanding Retail 1603 Superior Ave 9/8/2015 16,640 $1,775,000 $107 1647 9,500 $187 Auto Repair 322 E. 17th St 6/30/2015 10,751 $2,500,000 $233 1969 3,500 $714 Retail Storefront 2330-2334 Newport Blvd 6/23/2015 9,017 $1,295,000 $144 1956 3,790 $342 Freestanding Retail 840 W. 19th St 6/19/2015 8,712 $760,000 $87 1967 825 $921 Freestanding Retail 124 E. 17th St 6/2/2015 8,712 $1,550,000 $178 1961 2,340 $662 Auto Repair 3007-3013 Enterprise St 5/14/2015 30,827 $2,840,000 $92 1963 9,412 $302 Freestanding Retail 3089 Bristol St 5/12/2015 56,628 $6,150,000 $109 1969 40,000 $154 Auto Repair 1343 Logan Ave 5/12/2015 30,540 $1,875,000 $61 1960 12,020 $156 Freestanding Retail 2710 Harbor Blvd 4/15/2015 30,056 $3,850,000 $128 1972 11,136 $346 Weighted Average $111 $252 Note: Sales data from 3/22/2014 -312212016; Sales covering the City of Costa Mesa, Multi -property sales, non -arms length transactions, and transactions without a sales price were excluded. Source: Costar 3/2016 Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Sales Comps ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT B CASE STUDY ANALYSIS PRO FORMA ANALYSIS: APARTMENT DEVELOPMENT Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; PF_CS Page 9 of 65 ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT B - TABLE 1 ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COSTS CASE STUDY ANALYSIS APARTMENT DEVELOPMENT ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Direct Costs On -Site Costs Structured Parking Residential Building Costs Contractor/DC Contingency Allowance Total Direct Costs II. Indirect Costs Arch, Engineering & Consulting Public Permits & Fees Taxes, Legal & Accounting Insurance Marketing/ Leasing Developer Fee Soft Cost Contingency Allowance Total Indirect Costs III. Financing Costs Interest During Construction Land Construction Loan Origination Fees Total Financing Costs 180,774 Sf 500 Spaces 228,275 Sf of GBA 14.0% Other Direct Costs 8.0% Direct Costs 1 225 Units 2.0% Direct Costs 225 Units 225 Units 5.0% Direct Costs 5.0% Other Indirect Cost Z 18,452,000 Cost 3 $52,512,000 Cost 4 $66,234,000 Loan $7.00 /Sf of Land $15,000 /Space $100 /Sf $1,265,000 7,500,000 22,828,000 4,423,000 $2,881,000 $36,016,000 $15,000 /Unit 3,375,000 720,000 $2,500 /Unit 563,000 $500 /Unit 113,000 1,801,000 Costs 473,000 $9,926,000 7.0% Interest 1,937,000 7.0% Interest 3,308,000 2.00 Points 1,325,000 $6,570,000 IV. Total Construction Cost 228,275 Sf of GBA $230 /Sf $52,512,000 1 Based on typical residential public permits and fees costs. Z Assumes an 18 month construction period and a 100% average outstanding balance. 3 Assumes an 18 month construction period and a 60% average outstanding balance. 4 Based on a 70% loan to value ratio. The value is calculated based on a 4.5% capitalization rate Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; PF_CS Page 10 of 65 ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT B - TABLE 2 STABILIZED NET OPERATING INCOME CASE STUDY ANALYSIS APARTMENT DEVELOPMENT ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Rental Income 1 1 Bdrm/1 Bath 140 Units @ $2,250 /Month $3,780,000 2 Bdrm/2 Bath 85 Units @ $3,025 /Month 3,085,500 Laundry/Miscellaneous Income 225 Units @ $15 /Month 40,500 Gross Income $6,906,000 (Less) Vacancy & Collection Allowance 5.0% Gross Income (345,300) Residential Effective Gross Income $6,560,700 II. Operating Expenses General Operating Expenses 225 Units @ $4,000 /Unit $900,000 Property Management 5% Residential Effective Gross Income 328,000 Property Taxes Z 225 Units @ $4,627 /Unit 1,041,000 Reserves Deposits 225 Units @ $150 /Unit 33,800 Total Operating Expenses 225 Units @ ($8,777) /Unit ($2,302,800) IV. Stabilized Net Operating Income $4,257,900 1 Rents range from $2.75 to $3.00/Sf of GLA. Z Based on a 4.5% capitalization rate and a 1.1% property tax rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; PF_CS Page 11 of 65 ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT B - TABLE 3 ESTIMATED LAND VALUE CASE STUDY ANALYSIS APARTMENT DEVELOPMENT ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Supportable Private Investment Stabilized Net Operating Income See ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT B - TABLE 2 $4,257,900 Threshold Return on Cost 6.0% Total Supportable Private Investment $70,965,000 II. Total Construction Cost See ATTACHMENT IV: EXHIBIT B - TABLE 1 $52,512,000 III. I Estimated Land Value 180,774 Sf of Land $102 /Sf of Land $18,453,000 Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; PF_CS Page 12 of 65 ATTACHMENT V FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-1 HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-1- TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 7 13 2.50 337,500 500 675 24% 162 z 326 0 24% 0 1.75 40% 0 75% 33 162 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 195 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-1- TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value 195 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $1,900 Residential 13 Units $675,000 /Unit $8,775,000 General Retail 337,500 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 67,500,000 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 33 Residents $1.26 /Person $76,275,000 Property Tax Rate 195 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 33 Residents $18.30 /Person $953,400 City Share of Property Tax Revenue 33 Residents $9.44 /Person 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $139,700 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 13 Units $11,879 /Unit $154,400 General Commercial 337,500 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 135,000,000 Total Taxable Sales $135,154,400 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $1,351,500 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 195 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $1,900 Cable Television Franchise Fee 33 Residents $11.74 /Person 400 Gas Franchise Fee 195 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 400 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 195 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 2,900 Business License 162 Employees $10.80 /Person 1,700 Licenses and Permits 33 Residents $1.26 /Person 0 Fines & Forfeitures 195 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 1,700 Fees and Charges 33 Residents $18.30 /Person 600 Other Government Agencies 33 Residents $9.44 /Person 300 Total Other Revenues $9,900 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $1,501,100 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-1- TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 195 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $59,600 Fire 28.79 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 90,500 Parks 33 Residents $8.46 /Person 300 Development Services 195 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 3,800 Public Services 195 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 16,200 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 55,700 Total Annual Expenditures $110,800 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $1,501,100 ($110,800) Net Fiscal Impact $1,390,300 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 162 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 193 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 193 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $7,374,400 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $7,374,400 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-2 HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-2 -TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 9 491 2.50 321,000 500 642 24% 154 z 326 0 24% 0 1.75 40% 0 75% 1,228 154 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 1,382 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-2 -TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value 1,382 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $13,200 Residential 491 Units $675,000 /Unit $331,425,000 General Retail 321,000 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 64,200,000 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 1,228 Residents $1.26 /Person $395,625,000 Property Tax Rate 1,382 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 1,228 Residents $18.30 /Person $4,945,300 City Share of Property Tax Revenue 1,228 Residents $9.44 /Person 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $724,700 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 491 Units $11,879 /Unit $5,832,800 General Commercial 321,000 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 128,400,000 Total Taxable Sales $134,232,800 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $1,342,300 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 1,382 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $13,200 Cable Television Franchise Fee 1,228 Residents $11.74 /Person 14,400 Gas Franchise Fee 1,382 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 2,600 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 1,382 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 20,200 Business License 154 Employees $10.80 /Person 1,700 Licenses and Permits 1,228 Residents $1.26 /Person 1,500 Fines & Forfeitures 1,382 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 12,400 Fees and Charges 1,228 Residents $18.30 /Person 22,500 Other Government Agencies 1,228 Residents $9.44 /Person 11,600 Total Other Revenues $100,100 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $2,167,100 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT A-2 -TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT HARBOR MIXED-USE OVERLAY: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 1,382 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $422,500 Fire 70.79 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 222,600 Parks 1,228 Residents $8.46 /Person 10,400 Development Services 1,382 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 26,600 Public Services 1,382 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 115,100 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 260,500 Total Annual Expenditures $374,700 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $2,167,100 ($374,700) Net Fiscal Impact $1,792,400 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 154 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 184 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 184 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $7,010,200 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $7,010,200 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Harbor MU_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-1 RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-1 - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 7 84 2.50 356,800 500 714 24% 171 z 326 0 24% 0 1.75 40% 0 75% 210 171 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 381 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-1 - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value 381 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $3,600 Residential 84 Units $675,000 /Unit $56,700,000 General Retail 356,800 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 71,360,000 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 210 Residents $1.26 /Person $128,060,000 Property Tax Rate 381 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 210 Residents $18.30 /Person $1,600,800 City Share of Property Tax Revenue 210 Residents $9.44 /Person 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $234,600 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 84 Units $11,879 /Unit $997,900 General Commercial 356,800 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 142,720,000 Total Taxable Sales $143,717,900 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $1,437,200 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 381 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $3,600 Cable Television Franchise Fee 210 Residents $11.74 /Person 2,500 Gas Franchise Fee 381 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 700 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 381 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 5,600 Business License 171 Employees $10.80 /Person 1,800 Licenses and Permits 210 Residents $1.26 /Person 300 Fines & Forfeitures 381 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 3,400 Fees and Charges 210 Residents $18.30 /Person 3,800 Other Government Agencies 210 Residents $9.44 /Person 2,000 Total Other Revenues $23,700 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $1,695,500 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-1 - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 381 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $116,500 Fire 36.81 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 115,800 Parks 210 Residents $8.46 /Person 1,800 Development Services 381 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 7,300 Public Services 381 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 31,700 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 89,200 Total Annual Expenditures $156,600 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $1,695,500 ($156,600) Net Fiscal Impact $1,538,900 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 171 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 204 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 204 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $7,784,100 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $7,784,100 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-2 RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-2 - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 9 1,063 2.50 178,400 500 357 24% 86 z 326 0 24% 0 1.75 40% 0 75% 2,658 86 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 2,744 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-2 - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value 2,744 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $26,300 Residential 1,063 Units $675,000 /Unit $717,525,000 General Retail 178,400 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 35,680,000 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 2,658 Residents $1.26 /Person $753,205,000 Property Tax Rate 2,744 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 2,658 Residents $18.30 /Person $9,415,100 City Share of Property Tax Revenue 2,658 Residents $9.44 /Person 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $1,379,700 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 1,063 Units $11,879 /Unit $12,627,800 General Commercial 178,400 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 71,360,000 Total Taxable Sales $83,987,800 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $839,900 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 2,744 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $26,300 Cable Television Franchise Fee 2,658 Residents $11.74 /Person 31,200 Gas Franchise Fee 2,744 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 5,200 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 2,744 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 40,100 Business License 86 Employees $10.80 /Person 900 Licenses and Permits 2,658 Residents $1.26 /Person 3,300 Fines & Forfeitures 2,744 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 24,600 Fees and Charges 2,658 Residents $18.30 /Person 48,600 Other Government Agencies 2,658 Residents $9.44 /Person 25,100 Total Other Revenues $205,300 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $2,424,900 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT B-2 - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - HARBOR: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 2,744 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $839,000 Fire 111.01 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 349,100 Parks 2,658 Residents $8.46 /Person 22,500 Development Services 2,744 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 52,900 Public Services 2,744 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 228,500 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 487,600 Total Annual Expenditures $653,000 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $2,424,900 ($653,000) Net Fiscal Impact $1,771,900 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 86 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 102 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 102 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $3,914,800 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $3,914,800 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_H_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-1 RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - NEWPORT: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-1 - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - NEWPORT: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 7 237 2.50 582,200 500 1,164 24% 279 z 326 0 24% 0 1.75 40% 0 75% 593 279 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 872 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-1 - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - NEWPORT: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value 872 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $8,300 Residential 237 Units $675,000 /Unit $159,975,000 General Retail 582,200 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 116,440,000 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 593 Residents $1.26 /Person $276,415,000 Property Tax Rate 872 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 593 Residents $18.30 /Person $3,455,200 City Share of Property Tax Revenue 593 Residents $9.44 /Person 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $506,300 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 237 Units $11,879 /Unit $2,815,400 General Commercial 582,200 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 232,880,000 Total Taxable Sales $235,695,400 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $2,357,000 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 872 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $8,300 Cable Television Franchise Fee 593 Residents $11.74 /Person 7,000 Gas Franchise Fee 872 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 1,600 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 872 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 12,800 Business License 279 Employees $10.80 /Person 3,000 Licenses and Permits 593 Residents $1.26 /Person 700 Fines & Forfeitures 872 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 7,800 Fees and Charges 593 Residents $18.30 /Person 10,900 Other Government Agencies 593 Residents $9.44 /Person 5,600 Total Other Revenues $57,700 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $2,921,000 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-1 - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT RESIDENTIAL INCENTIVE - NEWPORT: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 872 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $266,600 Fire 69.12 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 217,400 Parks 593 Residents $8.46 /Person 5,000 Development Services 872 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 16,800 Public Services 872 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 72,600 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 189,000 Total Annual Expenditures $311,800 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $2,921,000 ($311,800) Net Fiscal Impact $2,609,200 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 279 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 332 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 332 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $12,700,400 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $12,700,400 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-2 LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-2 - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 9 1,210 2.50 291,100 500 582 24% 140 z 326 0 24% 0 1.75 40% 0 75% 3,025 140 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 3,165 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-2 - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value 3,165 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $30,300 Residential 1,210 Units $675,000 /Unit $816,750,000 General Retail 291,100 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 58,220,000 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 3,025 Residents $1.26 /Person $874,970,000 Property Tax Rate 3,165 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 3,025 Residents $18.30 /Person $10,937,100 City Share of Property Tax Revenue 3,025 Residents $9.44 /Person 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $1,602,700 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 1,210 Units $11,879 /Unit $14,374,100 General Commercial 291,100 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 116,440,000 Total Taxable Sales $130,814,100 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $1,308,100 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 3,165 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $30,300 Cable Television Franchise Fee 3,025 Residents $11.74 /Person 35,500 Gas Franchise Fee 3,165 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 6,000 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 3,165 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 46,300 Business License 140 Employees $10.80 /Person 1,500 Licenses and Permits 3,025 Residents $1.26 /Person 3,800 Fines & Forfeitures 3,165 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 28,300 Fees and Charges 3,025 Residents $18.30 /Person 55,400 Other Government Agencies 3,025 Residents $9.44 /Person 28,600 Total Other Revenues $235,700 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $3,146,500 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT C-2 - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 3,165 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $967,700 Fire 133.56 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 420,000 Parks 3,025 Residents $8.46 /Person 25,600 Development Services 3,165 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 61,000 Public Services 3,165 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 263,500 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 567,900 Total Annual Expenditures $770,100 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $3,146,500 ($770,100) Net Fiscal Impact $2,376,400 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 140 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 167 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 167 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $6,372,900 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $6,372,900 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Res Inc_N_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-1 LA TIMES SITE: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-1- TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) LA TIMES SITE: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Manufacturing Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Manufacturing Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 1 500 374,000 z 300 1.75 40% 0 24% 1,247 24% 0 75% I 299 0 299 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 299 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-1- TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES LA TIMES SITE: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value Electric Franchise Fee 299 R+E+V $9.57 Residential 0 Units /Unit $0 General Retail 0 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 0 Office 374,000 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 56,100,000 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 299 Employees $10.80 $56,100,000 Property Tax Rate Licenses and Permits 0 Residents 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 0 Fines & Forfeitures 299 $701,300 City Share of Property Tax Revenue /Person 2,700 Fees and Charges 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $18.30 /Person 0 $102,800 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 0 Units /Unit $0 General Commercial 0 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 0 Total Taxable Sales $0 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $0 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 299 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $2,900 Cable Television Franchise Fee 0 Residents $11.74 /Person 0 Gas Franchise Fee 299 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 600 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 299 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 4,400 Business License 299 Employees $10.80 /Person 3,200 Licenses and Permits 0 Residents $1.26 /Person 0 Fines & Forfeitures 299 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 2,700 Fees and Charges 0 Residents $18.30 /Person 0 Other Government Agencies 0 Residents $9.44 /Person 0 Total Other Revenues $13,800 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $116,600 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-1- TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT LA TIMES SITE: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 299 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $91,400 Fire 6.10 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 19,200 Parks 0 Residents $8.46 /Person 0 Development Services 299 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 5,800 Public Services 299 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 24,900 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 46,200 Total Annual Expenditures $49,900 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $116,600 ($49,900) Net Fiscal Impact $66,700 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Manufacturing 0 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 0 299 Direct Jobs 1.7286 Multiplier 517 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 517 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Manufacturing $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $0 $34,100 Average Salary 1.6638 Multiplier 16,963,800 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $16,963,800 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-2 LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-2 -TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 165,800 1 500 458,600 z 326 1.75 40% 332 24% 1,406 24% 0 75% 80 337 0 417 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 417 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-2 -TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value Electric Franchise Fee 417 R+E+V $9.57 Residential 0 Units /Unit $0 General Retail 165,800 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 33,160,000 Office 458,600 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 68,790,000 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 417 Employees $10.80 $101,950,000 Property Tax Rate Licenses and Permits 0 Residents 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 0 Fines & Forfeitures 417 $1,274,400 City Share of Property Tax Revenue /Person 3,700 Fees and Charges 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $18.30 /Person 0 $186,700 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 0 Units /Unit $0 General Commercial 165,800 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 66,320,000 Total Taxable Sales $66,320,000 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $663,200 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 417 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $4,000 Cable Television Franchise Fee 0 Residents $11.74 /Person 0 Gas Franchise Fee 417 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 800 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 417 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 6,100 Business License 417 Employees $10.80 /Person 4,500 Licenses and Permits 0 Residents $1.26 /Person 0 Fines & Forfeitures 417 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 3,700 Fees and Charges 0 Residents $18.30 /Person 0 Other Government Agencies 0 Residents $9.44 /Person 0 Total Other Revenues $19,100 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $869,000 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT D-2 -TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT LA TIMES SITE: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 417 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $127,500 Fire 40.67 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 127,900 Parks 0 Residents $8.46 /Person 0 Development Services 417 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 8,000 Public Services 417 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 34,700 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 97,400 Total Annual Expenditures $170,600 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $869,000 ($170,600) Net Fiscal Impact $698,400 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 80 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 95 337 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 578 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 673 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $3,641,700 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 53,348,000 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $56,989,700 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; LA Times_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-1 SOBECA: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-1- TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) SOBECA: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Light Industry Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Light Industry Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 147,300 1 500 458,600 z 470 1.75 40% 295 24% 976 24% 0 75% 71 234 0 011 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 305 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-1- TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES SOBECA: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value Electric Franchise Fee 305 R+E+V $9.57 Residential 0 Units /Unit $0 General Retail 147,300 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 29,460,000 Office 458,600 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 68,790,000 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 305 Employees $10.80 $98,250,000 Property Tax Rate Licenses and Permits 0 Residents 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 0 Fines & Forfeitures 305 $1,228,100 City Share of Property Tax Revenue /Person 2,700 Fees and Charges 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $18.30 /Person 0 $180,000 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 0 Units /Unit $0 General Commercial 147,300 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 58,920,000 Total Taxable Sales $58,920,000 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $589,200 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 305 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $2,900 Cable Television Franchise Fee 0 Residents $11.74 /Person 0 Gas Franchise Fee 305 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 600 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 305 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 4,500 Business License 305 Employees $10.80 /Person 3,300 Licenses and Permits 0 Residents $1.26 /Person 0 Fines & Forfeitures 305 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 2,700 Fees and Charges 0 Residents $18.30 /Person 0 Other Government Agencies 0 Residents $9.44 /Person 0 Total Other Revenues $14,000 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $783,200 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-1- TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT SOBECA: CURRENT GENERAL PLAN FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 305 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $93,300 Fire 17.65 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 55,500 Parks 0 Residents $8.46 /Person 0 Development Services 305 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 5,900 Public Services 305 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 25,400 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 58,900 Total Annual Expenditures $86,800 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $783,200 ($86,800) Net Fiscal Impact $696,400 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Light Industry 71 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 85 234 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 402 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 487 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Light Industry $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $3,232,000 $34,100 Average Salary 1.6638 Multiplier 13,276,000 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $16,508,000 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Base ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-2 SOBECA: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-2 - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) SOBECA: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 7 2 450 2.50 500 0 24% 0 326 0 24% 1.75 40% 0 75% 1,125 0 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 1,125 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-2 - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES SOBECA: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value Electric Franchise Fee 1,125 R+E+V $9.57 Residential 450 Units $675,000 /Unit $303,750,000 General Retail 0 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 0 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 0 Employees $10.80 $303,750,000 Property Tax Rate Licenses and Permits 1,125 Residents 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 1,400 Fines & Forfeitures 1,125 $3,796,900 City Share of Property Tax Revenue /Person 10,100 Fees and Charges 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $18.30 /Person 20,600 $556,400 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 450 Units $11,879 /Unit $5,345,700 General Commercial 0 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 0 Total Taxable Sales $5,345,700 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $53,500 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 1,125 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $10,800 Cable Television Franchise Fee 1,125 Residents $11.74 /Person 13,200 Gas Franchise Fee 1,125 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 2,100 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 1,125 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 16,500 Business License 0 Employees $10.80 /Person 0 Licenses and Permits 1,125 Residents $1.26 /Person 1,400 Fines & Forfeitures 1,125 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 10,100 Fees and Charges 1,125 Residents $18.30 /Person 20,600 Other Government Agencies 1,125 Residents $9.44 /Person 10,600 Total Other Revenues $85,300 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $695,200 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT E-2 - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT SOBECA: GENERAL PLAN UPDATE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 1,125 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $344,000 Fire 40.82 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 128,400 Parks 1,125 Residents $8.46 /Person 9,500 Development Services 1,125 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 21,700 Public Services 1,125 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 93,700 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 195,200 Total Annual Expenditures $253,300 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $695,200 ($253,300) Net Fiscal Impact $441,900 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 0 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 0 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $0 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $0 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; SOBECA_Proposed ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT F SEGERSTROM HOME RANCH FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Home Ranch ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT F - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) SEGERSTROM HOME RANCH FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 1 500 1,200,000 z 326 0 1.75 40% 0 24% 3,680 24% 0 75% I 883 0 883 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 883 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Home Ranch ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT F - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES SEGERSTROM HOME RANCH FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value Electric Franchise Fee 883 R+E+V $9.57 Residential 0 Units /Unit $0 General Retail 0 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 0 Office 1,200,000 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 180,000,000 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 883 Employees $10.80 $180,000,000 Property Tax Rate Licenses and Permits 0 Residents 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 0 Fines & Forfeitures 883 $2,250,000 City Share of Property Tax Revenue /Person 7,900 Fees and Charges 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $18.30 /Person 0 $329,700 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 0 Units /Unit $0 General Commercial 0 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 0 Total Taxable Sales $0 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $0 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 883 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $8,500 Cable Television Franchise Fee 0 Residents $11.74 /Person 0 Gas Franchise Fee 883 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 1,700 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 883 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 12,900 Business License 883 Employees $10.80 /Person 9,500 Licenses and Permits 0 Residents $1.26 /Person 0 Fines & Forfeitures 883 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 7,900 Fees and Charges 0 Residents $18.30 /Person 0 Other Government Agencies 0 Residents $9.44 /Person 0 Total Other Revenues $40,500 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $370,200 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $675,000 for new High Density Residentialand 35% of income spent on housing expenses Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Home Ranch ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT F - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT SEGERSTROM HOME RANCH FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 883 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $270,000 Fire 70.92 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 223,000 Parks 0 Residents $8.46 /Person 0 Development Services 883 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 17,000 Public Services 883 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 73,500 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 190,700 Total Annual Expenditures $313,500 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $370,200 ($313,500) Net Fiscal Impact $56,700 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 0 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 0 883 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier 1,516 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 1,516 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $0 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 139,781,200 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $139,781,200 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Home Ranch ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT G SAKIOKA SITE - LOT 2 FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Sakioka #2 ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT G - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) SAKIOKA SITE - LOT 2 FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 7 2 660 2.50 500 0 24% 0 326 0 24% 1.75 40% 0 75% 1,650 0 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 1,650 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Sakioka #2 ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT G - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES SAKIOKA SITE - LOT 2 FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value Electric Franchise Fee 1,650 R+E+V $9.57 Residential 660 Units $626,227 /Unit $413,310,000 General Retail 0 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 0 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 0 Employees $10.80 $413,310,000 Property Tax Rate Licenses and Permits 1,650 Residents 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 2,100 Fines & Forfeitures 1,650 $5,166,400 City Share of Property Tax Revenue /Person 14,800 Fees and Charges 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $18.30 /Person 30,200 $757,100 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 660 Units $11,161 /Unit $7,366,500 General Commercial 0 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 0 Total Taxable Sales $7,366,500 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $73,700 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 1,650 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $15,800 Cable Television Franchise Fee 1,650 Residents $11.74 /Person 19,400 Gas Franchise Fee 1,650 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 3,100 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 1,650 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 24,100 Business License 0 Employees $10.80 /Person 0 Licenses and Permits 1,650 Residents $1.26 /Person 2,100 Fines & Forfeitures 1,650 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 14,800 Fees and Charges 1,650 Residents $18.30 /Person 30,200 Other Government Agencies 1,650 Residents $9.44 /Person 15,600 Total Other Revenues $125,100 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $955,900 1 Average household income for the market -rate units is estimated based on the $675,000 average sales price for new High Density Residential and 35% of income spent on housing expenses. Maximum income for the very -low income units is estimated at $39,250. Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. 2 Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Sakioka #2 ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT G - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT SAKIOKA SITE - LOT 2 FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 1,650 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $504,500 Fire 54.60 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 171,700 Parks 1,650 Residents $8.46 /Person 14,000 Development Services 1,650 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 31,800 Public Services 1,650 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 137,400 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 280,900 Total Annual Expenditures $354,900 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $955,900 ($354,900) Net Fiscal Impact $601,000 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 0 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 0 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $0 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $0 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Sakioka #2 ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT H FAIRVIEW SITE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Fairview ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT H - TABLE 1 POPULATION ESTIMATES (FULL-TIME EQUIVALENTS) FAIRVIEW SITE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Residential Population Number of Units Average Number of Persons Per Unit Total Residential Population II. Employment Population A. General Retail Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated General Retail Employees B. Office Gross Building Area Estimated Square Feet Per Employee Estimated Number of Employees Employment Based Resident Equivalent Estimated Office Employees Total Employment Population III. Visitor Population (Motel Guests) Number of Rooms Visitors Per Room Average Occupancy Rate Estimated Number of Visitors Visitor Conversion to Resident Equivalent Total Visitor Population (Motel Guests) 7 2 500 2.77 500 0 24% 0 326 0 24% 1.75 40% 0 75% 1,383 0 0 IV. ITotal Population (Full -Time Equivalents) 1,383 1 General Plan measures against net leasable area - 10% discount from gross floor area. 2 General Plan measures against the gross floor area minus an 8% vacancy rate. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Fairview ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT H - TABLE 2 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND REVENUES FAIRVIEW SITE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Property Tax Revenue Assessed Value Electric Franchise Fee 1,383 R+E+V $9.57 Residential 500 Units $765,000 /Unit $382,500,000 General Retail 0 Sq. Ft. $200 /Sq. Ft. 0 Office 0 Sq. Ft. $150 /Sq. Ft. 0 Motels 0 Rooms $50,000 /Room 0 Total Assessed Value 0 Employees $10.80 $382,500,000 Property Tax Rate Licenses and Permits 1,383 Residents 1.25% Total Property Tax Revenue 1,700 Fines & Forfeitures 1,383 $4,781,300 City Share of Property Tax Revenue /Person 12,400 Fees and Charges 14.65% Total Property Tax Revenue $18.30 /Person 25,300 $700,600 II. Sales Tax Revenue Taxable Sales Taxable Sales Generated by Residents 1 500 Units $13,463 /Unit $6,731,700 General Commercial 0 Sq. Ft. $400 /Sq. Ft. 0 Total Taxable Sales $6,731,700 Sales Tax Rate 1.0% Total Sales Tax Revenue $67,300 III. Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Room Sales Revenue Transient Occupancy Rate 0 Rooms $12,775 /Room $0 8.0% Total Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $0 IV. Other Revenues Electric Franchise Fee 1,383 R+E+V $9.57 /Person $13,200 Cable Television Franchise Fee 1,383 Residents $11.74 /Person 16,200 Gas Franchise Fee 1,383 R+E+V $1.88 /Person 2,600 Solid Waste Hauler Franchise Fee 1,383 R+E+V $14.63 /Person 20,200 Business License 0 Employees $10.80 /Person 0 Licenses and Permits 1,383 Residents $1.26 /Person 1,700 Fines & Forfeitures 1,383 R+E+V $8.95 /Person 12,400 Fees and Charges 1,383 Residents $18.30 /Person 25,300 Other Government Agencies 1,383 Residents $9.44 /Person 13,100 Total Other Revenues $104,700 V. ITotal Annual General Fund Revenues $872,600 1 Average household income is estimated based on the $900,000 average sales price for new Medium Density Residential and $675,000 for new High Density Residential; and 35% of income spent on housing expenses. Assumes that 30% of income is spent on retail goods; 70% of those sales are taxable; and 45% of the sales occur in existing Costa Mesa establishments. z Based on an average daily room rate of $50.00 and an average occupancy rate of 40%. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Fairview ATTACHMENT V: EXHIBIT H - TABLE 3 ANNUAL GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, NET FISCAL IMPACT & ECONOMIC IMPACT FAIRVIEW SITE FISCAL & ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS ELECTION CODE 9212 REPORT COSTA MESA, CALIFORNIA I. Annual Expenditures Police 1,383 R+E+V $305.75 /Person $422,900 Fire 45.35 Incidents $3,145 /Incident 142,600 Parks 1,383 Residents $8.46 /Person 11,700 Development Services 1,383 R+E+V $19.28 /Person 26,700 Public Services 1,383 R+E+V $83.27 /Person 115,200 Administrative Overhead 32.68% Other General Fund Expenditures 235,000 Total Annual Expenditures $296,200 II. Net Fiscal Impact Total Annual General Fund Revenues (Less) Total Annual Expenditures $872,600 ($296,200) Net Fiscal Impact $576,400 III. Economic Impact A. Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs General Retail Office 0 Direct Jobs 1.1917 Multiplier 0 Direct Jobs 1.7165 Multiplier Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Jobs 0 B. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings General Retail Office $33,000 Average Salary 1.3794 Multiplier $0 $89,400 Average Salary 1.7707 Multiplier 0 Total Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings $0 Source for multipliers: Regional Input -Output Modeling System (RIMS II) - RIMS II Multipliers for Orange County (2007/2013). Source for salaries: California Employment Development Department Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, May 2015. Direct & Indirect Increase in Earnings estimated by multiplying the Direct Jobs times the Average Salary and the applicable Multiplier. Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. File name: CM 9212_3 30 16; Fairview