HomeMy WebLinkAbout- - Presentation - 4/28/2026City Council Study Session
April 28, 2026
FY 2025-26 MID-YEAR BUDGET
PRESENTATION
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OVERVIEW
•FY 2025-26 General Fund Adopted Budget Overview
•FY 2025-26 Economic Conditions and Outlook
•FY 2025-26 Revenues Projections
•FY 2025-26 Expenditures Projections
•FY 2025-26 Summary Projected Results
•FY 2026-27 Outlook and Budget Calendar
FISCAL YEAR 2025-26
GENERAL FUND ADOPTED
BUDGET OVERVIEW
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•City Council approved the All Funds FY 2025-26 budget of $224.9 million
in June 2025,with a General Fund Budget of $186.9 million;
•Structurally balanced budget with no use of General Fund Reserves or
ARPA Funds;
•Dedicated 54%of General Fund to public safety departments;
•Partially deferred the Capital Assets Needs (CAN)of $1.25 million;
•Partially deferred the Information Technology Needs of $1.16 million;and
•Prefunded CalPERS Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL),saving the
General Fund approximately $1.0 million.
FY 2025-26 ADOPTED BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK &
OVERVIEW
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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK & OVERVIEW
•In late 2025 and early 2026,economic indicators in Orange County
showed moderate but uneven growth,with stable labor conditions
and steady consumer spending,even as inflation pressures
re-emerged due to higher oil and gas prices driven by geopolitical
tensions.
•Sales Tax was beginning to show some early signs of a slowdown,
but many industry forecasts still anticipated year over year growth
based on a resilient consumer.
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Macro Economic Challenges:
2025 Heightened
Volatility
The U.S. economy experienced volatility driven by
shifting federal policies, new tariffs, and prolonged
federal government shutdowns.
2026 Continued
Disruption
Economic instability continued and intensified due to the
ongoing conflict in Iran, leading to higher fuel prices and
weakened consumer confidence.
Policy & Market
Impacts
Immigration enforcement and lingering tariff effects
created uncertainty across labor, real estate, and
financial markets.
Outlook for City
Revenues &
Expenditures
Forecasts indicate that the conflict in Iran, elevated fuel
prices, and shifting household liquidity will influence City
revenues and expenditures in the near and long term.
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS & OUTLOOK
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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK & OVERVIEW
•Headwinds to consumers and businesses continue to pose risks to City revenues
as Orange County navigates a mixed economic environment, with growth in key
sectors but persistent cost pressures.
Particularly in Sales Tax, the City’s largest revenue category.
•Sales Tax is a higher proportion of total revenues in Costa Mesa.
As a lagging indicator, impacts to Property Taxes can be delayed.
•National and State level economic data may not necessarily reflect the local
business impacts due to variances in business composition, consumer and labor
demographics.
Costa Mesa has higher percentage of businesses in the Consumer Goods and
Auto sectors.
GENERAL FUND OVERVIEW
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Certain key revenues are received at different times throughout the
fiscal year:
•Sales Tax represents 40% of General Fund adopted revenue
budget and is primarily received two months in arrears;
•Property Tax represents 34% of General Fund adopted
revenue budget and is primarily received in December/January
and April/May;
•Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) represents 5% of total
General Fund adopted revenue budget and is received one
month in arrears; and
•Cannabis Gross Receipts Tax represents 2% of total adopted
revenue budget and is received one month in arrears.
FY 2025-26 GENERAL FUND REVENUES
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FY 2025-26
GENERAL FUND REVENUES
(IN MILLIONS)
Category FY 2024-25
Actuals
FY 2025-26
Adopted
Budget
FY 2025-26
Projected Difference
FY 2025-26
Adopted vs
Projected %
Property Taxes $59.3 $62.9 $62.2 $(-0.7)(-1.1%)
Sales Taxes 79.6 75.0 80.9 5.9 7.9%
TOT( Hotel Tax)9.9 9.8 10.0 0.2 2.0%
Cannabis Tax 3.7 3.7 3.7 -0.0%
Other Revenue 37.5 35.5 37.1 1.6 4.5%
Total Revenues $190.0M $186.9M $193.9M $7.0M 3.7%
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Highlights & Key Drivers
•Pursuing full staffing across Public Safety operations.
•Significant reduction in vacancies citywide.
•Increased Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) costs.
•Higher insurance premiums impacting overall expenditures.
FY 2025-26 GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES
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FY 2025-26
GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES
(IN MILLIONS)
Category FY 2024-25
Actuals
FY 2025-26
Adopted
Budget
FY 2025-26
Projected Difference
FY 2025-26
Adopted vs
Projected %
Salaries & Benefits 138.4 137.4 145.8 8.4 6.1%
Operating Expenses 44.8 46.7 45.2 (-1.5)-3.2%
Subtotal $183.2M $184.1M $191.0M $6.9M 3.7%
Transfers Out:
Capital
Improvement 3.9 1.2 1.2 0.0 0%
IT Replacement 2.9 1.6 1.6 0.0 0%
Subtotal 6.8 2.8 2.8 0.0 0%
Total Expenditures $190.0M $186.9M $193.8M $6.9M 3.7%
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•Filled all Police Officer vacancies, achieving full staffing in sworn classifications;
•Strategically secured grant funding, including Traffic Enforcement grants,
Transportation grants, and Federal earmarks;
•Maintained the City’s AA+ bond rating;
•Earned multiple GFOA and CSMFO awards and delivered a balanced budget;
•Projected to increase year-end General Fund balance by $0.1 million;
•Projected to exceed the City Council General Fund Reserve Policy of $55
million by $6.0 million; and
•Maintained General Fund reserves at $61.0 million, 31% of revenues, far
exceeding the GFOA best-practice minimum of 16% to 17%.
FY 2025-26 ACHIEVEMENTS
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FY 2025-26
GENERAL FUND SUMMARY
(IN MILLIONS)
Category FY 2024-25
Actuals
FY 2025-26
Adopted
Budget
FY 2025-26
Projected Difference
FY 2025-26
Adopted vs
Projected %
Total Revenue $190.0M $186.9M $193.9M $7.0M 3.7%
Total Expenditures $190.0M $186.9M $193.8M $6.9M 3.7%
Balance -- $0.1M $0.1M
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FUND BALANCE IN GENERAL FUND
(IN THOUSANDS)
Fund Balance Category
FY 2022-23
Audited
FY 2023-24
Audited
FY2024-25
Audited
FY2025-26
Projected
Nonspendable $460 $630 $883 $883
Restricted
Pension & OPEB 3,178 3,367 2,092 2,092
Committed
Declared Disasters 14,125 14,125 14,125 14,125
Self Insurance 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Economic Reserves 9,000 9,000 9,000 9,000
Assigned
Compensated Absences 6,209 5,982 5,982 5,982
Police Retirement 1,737 1,572 1,572 1,572
Workers Comp 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Facilities Reserve 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Strategic Plan Projects 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Unassigned 16,328 17,686 19,307 19,407
Total $59,037 $60,362 $60,962 $61,062
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•Balanced General Fund budget projected for FY 2025-26 despite
economic and geopolitical volatility.
•Sales tax remains strongest revenue source; still growing but
vulnerable to fuel price spikes and tariff impacts.
•Property tax and hotel tax are performing near or slightly above
expectations; cannabis tax trending flat to slightly below prior year.
SUMMARY
FY 2026-27 OUTLOOK
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•Revenue estimates for the next fiscal year are prepared months in
advance.
•Cost-containment measures underway with a focus on core services,
limiting non-essential expenses and exploring other potential funding
sources.
FY 2026-27 planning includes 5% reduction targets, and 2% attrition factor across
departments.
•Considerations for FY 2026-27 Proposed Budget:
Repayment and fully funding of the Capital Asset Needs and IT Needs Funds
Rising UAL payments
Increasing insurance premiums
Anticipated election-year costs
Increasing labor costs
FY 2026-27 GENERAL FUND BUDGET DEVELOPMENT
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FY 2026-27 Budget Calendar
Date Meeting
4/28/2026 FY 2026-27 Mid-Year Budget Study Session City Council
5/7/2026 FY 2026-27 Proposed Operating Budget Finance & Pension
Advisory Committee
5/12/2026 FY 2026-27 Proposed Budget Study Session City Council
6/2/2026 FY 2026-27 Proposed Operating and CIP Budget
Public Hearing & Adoption City Council
6/16/2026 FY 2026-27 Proposed Operating and CIP Budget
Public Hearing & Adoption (if needed)City Council
QUESTIONS